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Toward a Model of Terrorist Behavior in Hostage-Taking Incidents

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  • Margaret A. Wilson

    (Department of Psychology, University of Kent at Canterbury)

Abstract

Behavior in terrorist hostage taking is examined using published accounts of 100 incidents of aerial hijack and 60 incidents of barricade siege occurring worldwide over the past three decades. The use of multi-dimensional scalogram analysis demonstrates that behavior in terrorist hostage taking is highly structured. Behavioral similarities between incidents carried out by the same terrorist organization are demonstrated, and the structures underlying the use of resources in barricade siege and the demands issued in aerial hijacking are presented. The implications for theory development and training and decision making in hostage negotiation are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Margaret A. Wilson, 2000. "Toward a Model of Terrorist Behavior in Hostage-Taking Incidents," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 44(4), pages 403-424, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:44:y:2000:i:4:p:403-424
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002700044004001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Atkinson, Scott E & Sandler, Todd & Tschirhart, John, 1987. "Terrorism in a Bargaining Framework," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(1), pages 1-21, April.
    2. Shlomit Levy & Louis Guttman, 1989. "The conical structure of adjustive behavior," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 21(5), pages 455-479, October.
    3. Lapan, Harvey E & Sandler, Todd, 1988. "To Bargain or Not to Bargain: That Is the Question," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(2), pages 16-21, May.
    4. Todd Sandler & John L. Scott, 1987. "Terrorist Success in Hostage-Taking Incidents," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 31(1), pages 35-53, March.
    5. Per Baltzer Overgaard, 1994. "The Scale of Terrorist Attacks as a Signal of Resources," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 38(3), pages 452-478, September.
    6. Enders, Walter & Sandler, Todd, 1998. "Transnational Terrorism in the Post-Cold War Era," ISU General Staff Papers 199804010800001308, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Brandt, Patrick T. & George, Justin & Sandler, Todd, 2016. "Why concessions should not be made to terrorist kidnappers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 41-52.

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