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Action-Reaction or Rational Expectations?

Author

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  • Will H. Moore

    (University of California, Riverside)

Abstract

In this article, the author makes a case for expanding our focus from national-attribute studies of intranational conflict toward strategic behavior studies of intranational conflict. One payoff of such a move is that it enables us to specify a linkage between the strategic behavior of both domestic and international actors and thus address the often theorized, but rarely established, intranational-international conflict nexus. Further, the author takes a synthetic approach to the recent debate between action-reaction and rational expectations models of international conflict behavior and derives hypotheses concerning the behavior of both domestic and international parties to an armed intranational conflict. The hypotheses are then tested in a time-series case study design using the Rhodesian/Zimbabwean case for the period from 1957 to 1979. The results demonstrate that there existed an intranational-international conflict nexus in this case and highlight the utility of adopting a strategic behavior approach to studying armed intranational conflict.

Suggested Citation

  • Will H. Moore, 1995. "Action-Reaction or Rational Expectations?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 39(1), pages 129-167, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:39:y:1995:i:1:p:129-167
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002795039001006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Keohane, Robert O., 1986. "Reciprocity in international relations," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(1), pages 1-27, January.
    2. McGinnis, Michael D. & Williams, John T., 1989. "Change and Stability in Superpower Rivalry," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 83(4), pages 1101-1123, December.
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