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Must We Fear a Post-Cold War Multipolar System?

Author

Listed:
  • Charles W. Kegley Jr.

    (University of South Carolina)

  • Gregory A. Raymond

    (Boise State University)

Abstract

The probable transition from a bipolar to a multipolar international system has inspired divergent predictions about the likely consequences for global stability. This article places two recent exemplary deductive models under examination, in order to evaluate the validity of their conclusions about the alleged stability of the cold war's bipolar competitive world relative to that of multipolar systems. A review of the empirical evidence generated by inductive investigations of this relationship suggests that acceptance of the pessimistic thesis that multipolar systems are inherently unstable would be premature, and that, if intervening variables are considered, a rival, more pacific image of a future multipolar world is equally plausible.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles W. Kegley Jr. & Gregory A. Raymond, 1992. "Must We Fear a Post-Cold War Multipolar System?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 36(3), pages 573-585, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:36:y:1992:i:3:p:573-585
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002792036003007
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Niou, Emerson M. S. & Ordeshook, Peter C., 1990. "Stability in Anarchic International Systems," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 84(4), pages 1207-1234, December.
    2. Hopf, Ted, 1991. "Polarity, the Offense-Defense Balance, and War," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 85(2), pages 475-493, June.
    3. Snidal, Duncan, 1991. "Relative Gains and the Pattern of International Cooperation," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 85(3), pages 701-726, September.
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