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When Deaths Exceed Births: Natural Decrease in the United States

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  • Kenneth M. Johnson

    (Department of Sociology Loyola University of Chicago Chicago, Illinois 60626 USA)

Abstract

Natural decrease is no longer rare in the United States. By 1989, 34 percent of all U.S. counties had experienced at least one year of it. Natural decrease is most common in rural areas remote from metropolitan centers. Regional concentrations of natural decrease exist in the Great Plains, the Corn Belt, and East Texas with scattered pockets in the Ozark-Ouachita Uplands, Upper Great Lakes, and Florida. Natural decrease is caused by age structure distortions stimulated by protracted, age-specific migration. Although temporal variations in fertility also contribute to natural decrease, these variations are not due to below average fertility. Natural decrease is symptomatic of fundamental changes in the demographic structure of an area.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenneth M. Johnson, 1993. "When Deaths Exceed Births: Natural Decrease in the United States," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 15(2), pages 179-198, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:15:y:1993:i:2:p:179-198
    DOI: 10.1177/016001769301500203
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Calvin Beale, 1969. "Natural decrease of population: The current and prospective status of an emergent American phenomenon," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 6(2), pages 91-99, May.
    2. Calvin Beale, 1964. "Rural depopulation in the united states: Some demographic consequences of agricultural adjustments," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 1(1), pages 264-272, March.
    3. Hady, Thomas F. & Ross, Peggy J., 1990. "An Update: The Diverse Social and Economic Structure of Nonmetropolitan America," Staff Reports 278329, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Beale, Calvin L. & Fuguitt, Glenn V., 1990. "Decade of Pessimistic Nonmetro Population Trends Ends on Optimistic Note," Rural America/ Rural Development Perspectives, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 6(3), June.
    5. Kenneth Johnson & Ross Purdy, 1980. "Recent nonmetropolitan population change in fifty-year perspective," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 17(1), pages 57-70, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kenneth M. Johnson & Daniel T. Lichter, 2010. "Growing Diversity among America's Children and Youth: Spatial and Temporal Dimensions," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 36(1), pages 151-176, March.
    2. John Cromartie & David Nulph & Gary Hart & Elizabeth Dobis, 2013. "Defining frontier areas in the United States," Journal of Maps, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 149-153, June.

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