IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/envirb/v32y2005i1p111-125.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling the Dynamics of the Hong Kong Office Market under Economic Structural Change

Author

Listed:
  • Winky K O Ho

    (Department of Real Estate and Construction, School of Economics and Finance, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong SAR, China)

Abstract

The author adopts reduced-form equilibrium models to investigate the relations among vacancy, employment, space consumption, and rent in the Hong Kong office market under economic structural change. The models are estimated with the aid of data from Hong Kong during the period 1980–2002—a total of twenty-three yearly observations. It is hoped that empirical results will shed light on the adjustment mechanism of the local office market. In line with the existing literature, the author shows that, on the one hand, office rent is positively related to office employment, but inversely related to office stock. On the other hand, the demand for office space is inversely related to rent, but positively related to office employment. Moreover, the elasticity of space consumption with respect to rent is estimated to be inelastic. Historical simulations of the model are performed, and it is suggested that the equations simulate reasonably well as indicated by Theil's inequality.

Suggested Citation

  • Winky K O Ho, 2005. "Modeling the Dynamics of the Hong Kong Office Market under Economic Structural Change," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 32(1), pages 111-125, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:32:y:2005:i:1:p:111-125
    DOI: 10.1068/b3198
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1068/b3198
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1068/b3198?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John L. Kling & Thomas E. McCue, 1987. "Office Building Investment and the Macroeconomy: Empirical Evidence, 1973–1985," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 15(3), pages 234-255, September.
    2. Mauricio Rodriguez & C.F. Sirmans & Allen P. Marks, 1995. "Using Geographic Information Systems to Improve Real Estate Analysis," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 10(2), pages 163-174.
    3. Petros S. Sivitanides, 1997. "The Rent Adjustment Process and the Structural Vacancy Rate in the Commercial Real Estate Market," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 13(2), pages 195-210.
    4. Thrall, Grant Ian, 2002. "Business Geography and New Real Estate Market Analysis," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195076363.
    5. Hendershott, Patric & MacGregor, Bryan & White, Michael, 2002. "Explaining Real Commercial Rents Using an Error Correction Model with Panel Data," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 24(1-2), pages 59-87, Jan.-Marc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rena Sivitanidou, 1999. "Does the Theory of Irreversible Investments Help Explain Movements in Office-Commerical Construction?," Working Paper 8659, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    2. Dirk Brounen & Maarten Jennen, 2009. "Asymmetric Properties of Office Rent Adjustment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 336-358, October.
    3. Nowak Krzysztof, 2020. "Hidden Vacancy Rate as a Part of Office Market Dynamics in Selected Polish Cities," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(1), pages 1-12, March.
    4. Sotiris Tsolacos, 1998. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of new retail development," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 265-283, January.
    5. Natale Arcuri & Manuela De Ruggiero & Francesca Salvo & Raffaele Zinno, 2020. "Automated Valuation Methods through the Cost Approach in a BIM and GIS Integration Framework for Smart City Appraisals," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-16, September.
    6. Allen C. Goodman & Brent C Smith, 2023. "Medical Service Quality and Office Rent Premiums: Reputation Spillovers," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 680-708, April.
    7. Robert Edelstein & Desmond Tsang, 2007. "Dynamic Residential Housing Cycles Analysis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 295-313, October.
    8. Allison M. Orr & Colin Jones, 2003. "The Analysis and Prediction of Urban Office Rents," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(11), pages 2255-2284, October.
    9. Dubrovsky, Valery & Yaroshevich, Natalya & Kuzmin, Evgeny, 2016. "Transactional approach in assessment of operational performance of companies in transport infrastructure," MPRA Paper 72001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Franco, Sofia F. & Cutter, W. Bowman, 2022. "The determinants of non-residential real estate values with special reference to environmental local amenities," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    11. Kerasia Milaka & Yorgos Photis, 2004. "Defining a geographically weighted regression model of urban evolution. Application to the city of Volos, Greece," ERSA conference papers ersa04p507, European Regional Science Association.
    12. Dirk Brounen & Maarten Jennen, 2009. "Local Office Rent Dynamics," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 385-402, November.
    13. N. B. Udoekanem & J. I. Ighalo, 2016. "An assessment of the relationship between office rent and vacancy rate in Abuja, Nigeria," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(3), pages 77-83, March.
    14. Karande, Kiran & Lombard, John R, 2005. "Location strategies of broad-line retailers: an empirical investigation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 58(5), pages 687-695, May.
    15. Daniel Kohlert, 2010. "The determinants of regional real estate returns in the United Kingdom: a vector error correction approach," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 87-117, June.
    16. Rena Sivitanidou, 1999. "Office Rent Processes: The Case of U.S. Metropolitan Markets," Working Paper 8664, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    17. Bo Li, 2024. "Testing Business Cycle Theories: Evidence from the Great Recession," Papers 2403.04104, arXiv.org.
    18. Ingrid Nappi‐Choulet Pr. & Tristan‐Pierre Maury, 2009. "A Spatiotemporal Autoregressive Price Index for the Paris Office Property Market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 305-340, June.
    19. Jason Barr, 2010. "Skyscrapers and the Skyline: Manhattan, 1895–2004," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 38(3), pages 567-597, September.
    20. Karsten Lieser & Alexander Groh, 2014. "The Determinants of International Commercial Real Estate Investment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 611-659, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:32:y:2005:i:1:p:111-125. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.