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Testing the Regional Restructuring Hypothesis in Western Germany

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  • Herman J Bierens

    (Department of Economics, Pennsylvania State University, 608 Kern Graduate Building, University Park, PA 16802, USA)

  • Thomas Kontuly

    (Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA)

Abstract

In this paper we test the importance of the regional restructuring hypothesis by investigating whether the internal migration flows in western Germany can be explained by employment changes, on the basis of data of out-migration of employed workers and employment in seventy-five regions over the period 1982–97 for each year separately. Starting from a conditional probability model for the unobserved individual migration decisions, we derive mathematically a dynamic version of the Poisson gravity model for the total out-migration per region per year. Estimating this model for each year separately, we find partial confirmation of the regional restructuring hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Herman J Bierens & Thomas Kontuly, 2008. "Testing the Regional Restructuring Hypothesis in Western Germany," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 40(7), pages 1713-1727, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:1713-1727
    DOI: 10.1068/a39341
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Franz-Josef Kemper, 2004. "Internal Migration in Eastern and Western Germany: Convergence or Divergence of Spatial Trends after Unification?," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(6), pages 659-678.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gerke J. Hoogstra & Jouke van Dijk & Raymond J. G. M. Florax, 2017. "Do jobs follow people or people follow jobs? A meta-analysis of Carlino–Mills studies," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 357-378, October.

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