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Are Global per Capita CO2 Emissions Likely to Remain Stable?

Author

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  • Bjart Holtsmark

    (Statistics Norway, P.O. Box 8131 Dep, 0033 Oslo)

Abstract

Global per capita CO 2 emissions have been relatively stable during the last three decades. It has been suggested that this stability has been ignored by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its scenario makers. If the global per capita emissions remain stable at the current level, most IPCC scenarios show emissions paths that are too high. This paper presents a simple analytical framework that offers a general explanation of the stability of global per capita CO 2 emissions during recent decades. Moreover, the paper argues that it is difficult to see why the stability of global per capita CO 2 emissions during the last few decades should persist and that current trends in regional per capita emissions are in close agreement with the IPCC scenarios.

Suggested Citation

  • Bjart Holtsmark, 2006. "Are Global per Capita CO2 Emissions Likely to Remain Stable?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 17(2), pages 207-219, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:17:y:2006:i:2:p:207-219
    DOI: 10.1260/095830506777070088
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bjart J. Holtsmark & Knut H. Alfsen, 2004. "The use of PPP or MER in the construction of emission scenarios is more than a question of 'metrics'," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 205-216, June.
    2. Ross McKitrick & Mark C. Strazicich, 2005. "Stationarity of Global Per Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Implications for Global Warming Scenarios," Working Papers 0503, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
    3. Ross McKitrick, 2005. "Submission to UK House of Lords: Inquiry into Aspects of the Economics of Climate Change," Energy & Environment, , vol. 16(3-4), pages 633-638, July.
    4. Warwick J. McKibbin & David Pearce & Alison Stegman, 2004. "Can the IPCC SRES Be Improved?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 15(3), pages 351-362, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Monica Das Gupta, 2014. "Population, Poverty, and Climate Change," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 29(1), pages 83-108.

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