IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/engenv/v16y2005i2p327-331.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Extreme Weather Trends Vs. Dangerous Climate Change: A Need for Critical Reassessment

Author

Listed:
  • Madhav L Khandekar

    (Consulting Meteorologist, Unionville, Ontario CANADA, L3R 7Z5)

Abstract

The ongoing debate on global warming and increasing concentration of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO 2 in particular) highlights the possibility of increased incidences of extreme weather events world-wide, as the earth's mean temperature is expected to rise steadily in future. Several recent technical and scientific conferences have focused on the general theme of “dangerous climate change†and on avoiding or reducing this danger. However, a careful analysis of observed data on world-wide extreme weather events does not reveal any increasing trend in these events, thus suggesting a mismatch between reality and the hypothesis of dangerous climate change. There is a definite need to critically re-examine the hypothesis of dangerous climate change in the context of observed trend (or lack of it) in the extreme weather events worldwide.

Suggested Citation

  • Madhav L Khandekar, 2005. "Extreme Weather Trends Vs. Dangerous Climate Change: A Need for Critical Reassessment," Energy & Environment, , vol. 16(2), pages 327-331, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:16:y:2005:i:2:p:327-331
    DOI: 10.1260/0958305053749543
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1260/0958305053749543
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1260/0958305053749543?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N. Fauchereau & S. Trzaska & M. Rouault & Y. Richard, 2003. "Rainfall Variability and Changes in Southern Africa during the 20th Century in the Global Warming Context," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 29(2), pages 139-154, June.
    2. R. Kripalani & Ashwini Kulkarni & S. Sabade & M. Khandekar, 2003. "Indian Monsoon Variability in a Global Warming Scenario," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 29(2), pages 189-206, June.
    3. Stanley Changnon, 2003. "Shifting Economic Impacts from Weather Extremes in the United States: A Result of Societal Changes, Not Global Warming," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 29(2), pages 273-290, June.
    4. Kenneth Kunkel, 2003. "North American Trends in Extreme Precipitation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 29(2), pages 291-305, June.
    5. Robert Balling & Randall Cerveny, 2003. "Compilation and Discussion of Trends in Severe Storms in the United States: Popular Perception v. Climate Reality," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 29(2), pages 103-112, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Madhav L Khandekar, 2013. "Are Extreme Weather Events on the Rise?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 24(3-4), pages 537-549, June.
    2. Madhav L Khandekar, 2004. "Are Climate Model Projections Reliable Enough for Climate Policy?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 15(3), pages 521-525, July.
    3. C. Haque & Ian Burton, 2005. "Adaptation Options Strategies for Hazards and Vulnerability Mitigation: An International Perspective," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 335-353, July.
    4. Saon Banerjee & Subharanjan Das & Asis Mukherjee & Apurba Mukherjee & B. Saikia, 2016. "Adaptation strategies to combat climate change effect on rice and mustard in Eastern India," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 249-261, February.
    5. Maik Veste & Thomas Littmann & Anton Kunneke & Ben du Toit & Thomas Seifert, 2020. "Windbreaks as part of climate-smart landscapes reduce evapotranspiration in vineyards, Western Cape Province, South Africa," Plant, Soil and Environment, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 66(3), pages 119-127.
    6. Morgan, Kimberly L. & Larkin, Sherry L. & Adams, Charles M., 2011. "Empirical analysis of media versus environmental impacts on park attendance," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 852-859.
    7. Huang, Shengzhi & Huang, Qiang & Chang, Jianxia & Leng, Guoyong & Xing, Li, 2015. "The response of agricultural drought to meteorological drought and the influencing factors: A case study in the Wei River Basin, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 45-54.
    8. Linze Li & Chengsheng Jiang & Raghu Murtugudde & Xin-Zhong Liang & Amir Sapkota, 2021. "Global Population Exposed to Extreme Events in the 150 Most Populated Cities of the World: Implications for Public Health," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(3), pages 1-11, February.
    9. Fabian Barthel & Eric Neumayer, 2012. "A trend analysis of normalized insured damage from natural disasters," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(2), pages 215-237, July.
    10. Aparna Gupta & Abena Owusu & Jue Wang, 2024. "Assessing U.S. insurance firms' climate change impact and response," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 49(3), pages 571-604, July.
    11. Stanley Changnon, 2007. "New risk assessment products for dealing with financial exposure to weather hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 43(3), pages 295-301, December.
    12. Cliff Zinyemba & Emma Archer & Hanna-Andrea Rother, 2020. "Climate Change, Pesticides and Health: Considering the Risks and Opportunities of Adaptation for Zimbabwean Smallholder Cotton Growers," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-11, December.
    13. Mark D. Risser & William D. Collins & Michael F. Wehner & Travis A. O’Brien & Huanping Huang & Paul A. Ullrich, 2024. "Anthropogenic aerosols mask increases in US rainfall by greenhouse gases," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    14. Melanie Gall & Kevin A. Borden & Christopher T. Emrich & Susan L. Cutter, 2011. "The Unsustainable Trend of Natural Hazard Losses in the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 3(11), pages 1-25, November.
    15. Jiawei Zhou & Xiaohong Chen & Chuang Xu & Pan Wu, 2022. "Assessing Socioeconomic Drought Based on a Standardized Supply and Demand Water Index," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(6), pages 1937-1953, April.
    16. Jagadish Patra & A. Mishra & R. Singh & N. Raghuwanshi, 2012. "Detecting rainfall trends in twentieth century (1871–2006) over Orissa State, India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(3), pages 801-817, April.
    17. W. Botzen & J. Bergh & L. Bouwer, 2010. "Climate change and increased risk for the insurance sector: a global perspective and an assessment for the Netherlands," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 52(3), pages 577-598, March.
    18. Kabwe Mubanga & Bridget Umar, 2014. "Smallholder Farmers’ Responses to Rainfall Variability and Soil Fertility Problems by the Use of Indigenous Knowledge in Chipepo, Southern Zambia," Journal of Agricultural Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 6(6), pages 1-75, May.
    19. Libanda Brigadier & Bob Alex Ogwang & Victor Ongoma & Chilekana Ngonga & Linda Nyasa, 2016. "Diagnosis of the 2010 DJF flood over Zambia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 189-201, March.
    20. Kuei-Hsien Liao, 2014. "From flood control to flood adaptation: a case study on the Lower Green River Valley and the City of Kent in King County, Washington," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 723-750, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:engenv:v:16:y:2005:i:2:p:327-331. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.