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Compilation and Discussion of Trends in Severe Storms in the United States: Popular Perception v. Climate Reality

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  • Robert Balling
  • Randall Cerveny

Abstract

The ongoing greenhouse gas buildup and increase in near-surface air temperatures may have an impact on severe weather events in the United States. Output from some numerical modeling simulations suggests that the atmosphere over mid-latitude land areas could become more unstable in the future thereby supporting an increase in convective activity. However, despite the numerical simulation results, empiricists have been unable generally to identify significant increases in overall severe storm activity as measured in the magnitude and/or frequency of thunderstorms, hail events, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter storm activity across the United States. There is evidence that heavy precipitation events have increased during the period of historical records, but for many other severe weather categories, the trends have been downward over the past half century. Damage from severe weather has increased over this period, but this upward trend disappears when inflation, population growth, population redistribution, and wealth are taken into account. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Balling & Randall Cerveny, 2003. "Compilation and Discussion of Trends in Severe Storms in the United States: Popular Perception v. Climate Reality," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 29(2), pages 103-112, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:29:y:2003:i:2:p:103-112
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1023674722282
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    Cited by:

    1. Saon Banerjee & Subharanjan Das & Asis Mukherjee & Apurba Mukherjee & B. Saikia, 2016. "Adaptation strategies to combat climate change effect on rice and mustard in Eastern India," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 249-261, February.
    2. Islam, Moinul & Kotani, Koji & Managi, Shunsuke, 2016. "Climate perception and flood mitigation cooperation: A Bangladesh case study," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 117-133.
    3. Moinul Islam & Koji Kotani, 2014. "Perceptions to climatic changes and cooperative attitudes toward flood protection in Bangladesh," Working Papers EMS_2014_10, Research Institute, International University of Japan.
    4. Madhav L Khandekar, 2013. "Are Extreme Weather Events on the Rise?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 24(3-4), pages 537-549, June.
    5. Madhav L Khandekar, 2004. "Are Climate Model Projections Reliable Enough for Climate Policy?," Energy & Environment, , vol. 15(3), pages 521-525, July.
    6. Madhav L Khandekar, 2005. "Extreme Weather Trends Vs. Dangerous Climate Change: A Need for Critical Reassessment," Energy & Environment, , vol. 16(2), pages 327-331, March.

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