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The Effects of Fuel Prices, Environmental Regulations, and Other Factors on U.S. Coal Production, 2008-2016

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  • John Coglianese
  • Todd D. Gerarden
  • James H. Stock

Abstract

We decompose the decline in coal production from 2008 to 2016 into the contributions of several sources. In particular, we estimate the effects of declining natural gas prices and the introduction of new environmental regulations along with several other factors, using both monthly state-level data and annual information on coal plant closings. We estimate that the declining price of natural gas relative to coal is responsible for 92 percent of the total decline in coal production over this period and that environmental regulations account for an additional six percent, with other factors making small and offsetting contributions.

Suggested Citation

  • John Coglianese & Todd D. Gerarden & James H. Stock, 2020. "The Effects of Fuel Prices, Environmental Regulations, and Other Factors on U.S. Coal Production, 2008-2016," The Energy Journal, , vol. 41(1), pages 55-82, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:41:y:2020:i:1:p:55-82
    DOI: 10.5547/01956574.41.1.jcog
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Derek Glasgow & Shuang Zhao, 2017. "Has the Clean Air Interstate Rule Fulfilled Its Mission? An Assessment of Federal Rule-Making in Preventing Regional Spillover Pollution," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 34(2), pages 186-207, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gazmararian, Alexander F., 2024. "Fossil fuel communities support climate policy coupled with just transition assistance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    2. Sibande, Xolani & Demirer, Riza & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "On the pricing effects of bitcoin mining in the fossil fuel market: The case of coal," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    3. Yin, Yuwei & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Bottlenecks of LNG supply chain in energy transition: A case study of China using system dynamics simulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    4. Brett Watson & Ian Lange & Joshua Linn, 2023. "Coal demand, market forces, and U.S. coal mine closures," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 61(1), pages 35-57, January.
    5. Max Luke & Priyanshi Somani & Turner Cotterman & Dhruv Suri & Stephen J. Lee, 2020. "No COVID-19 Climate Silver Lining in the US Power Sector," Papers 2008.06660, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    6. Kacker, Kanishka & Lange, Ian, 2022. "Inter-regional coal mine competition in the US: Evidence from rail restrictions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    7. Christopher R. Knittel & Konstantinos Metaxoglou & Anson Soderbery & André Trindade, 2022. "Exporting global warming? Coal trade and the shale gas boom," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(3), pages 1294-1333, August.
    8. Adele C. Morris & Noah Kaufman & Siddhi Doshi, 2020. "Revenue at Risk in Coal-Reliant Counties," NBER Chapters, in: Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy, volume 2, pages 83-116, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Fleten, Stein-Erik & Fram, Benjamin P. & Ullrich, Carl J., 2024. "The reliability pricing model and coal-fired generators in PJM," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    10. Yin, Yuwei & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Impacts of energy transition on Liquefied Natural Gas shipping: A case study of China and its strategies," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 262-274.
    11. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi-Wei & Rehman, Ashfaq U., 2021. "Do multiple bubbles exist in coal price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    12. Adele Morris & Noah Kaufman & Siddhi Doshi, 2020. "Revenue at Risk in Coal-Reliant Counties," NBER Working Papers 27307, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Muehlenbachs, Lucija & Staubli, Stefan & Chu, Ziyan, 2021. "The accident externality from trucking: Evidence from shale gas development," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Energy transition; Electricity; Environmental regulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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