IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/emeeco/v16y2024i2p248-269.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pension Fund Investments and Capital Market Development in Nigeria: The Moderating Role of Inflation

Author

Listed:
  • Hyeladi Stanley Dibal
  • Habila Abel Haruna
  • Chinyere C. Onyejiaku
  • Ogbole Friday Ogbole
  • Josaphat Uchechukwu J. Onwumere

Abstract

Pension fund investment is a significant source of finance for the capital market in Nigeria. It increases the availability of funds for firms to acquire for expansion, stimulating economic growth and development. However, high inflation rates can have a negative impact on the effectiveness of pension fund investment in the capital market in Nigeria. This study investigates whether inflation enhances or reduces the effect of pension fund investment on capital market development in Nigeria. Monthly time series data from January 2013 to February 2020 were utilized using the ARDL model. The findings revealed that pension fund investments have a long- and short-run effect on capital market development in Nigeria. Our study also established that inflation reduces the negative impact of total domestic debt securities on total market capitalization both in the long- and short-run, which is the novelty of this study. The study contributes to the Modern Portfolio Theory, thereby establishing the role of inflation in determining the effect of pension fund investment on capital market development in Nigeria. JEL Classification G10, G23

Suggested Citation

  • Hyeladi Stanley Dibal & Habila Abel Haruna & Chinyere C. Onyejiaku & Ogbole Friday Ogbole & Josaphat Uchechukwu J. Onwumere, 2024. "Pension Fund Investments and Capital Market Development in Nigeria: The Moderating Role of Inflation," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 16(2), pages 248-269, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:emeeco:v:16:y:2024:i:2:p:248-269
    DOI: 10.1177/09749101231194194
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/09749101231194194
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/09749101231194194?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beck, Thorsten & Levine, Ross, 2004. "Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 423-442, March.
    2. Eduardo Walker & Fernando Lefort, 2002. "Pension Reform And Capital Markets: Are There Any (Hard) Links?," Abante, Escuela de Administracion. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 5(2), pages 77-149.
    3. Asteriou, Dimitrios & Monastiriotis, Vassilis, 2007. "What do unions do at the large scale? Macro-economic evidence from a panel of OECD countries," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 7(1), pages 1-20, May.
    4. Michiel Bijlsma & Clemens Kool & Marielle Non, 2018. "The effect of financial development on economic growth: a meta-analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(57), pages 6128-6148, December.
    5. Demirguc-Kunt, Ash & Levine, Ross, 1996. "Stock Market Development and Financial Intermediaries: Stylized Facts," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 10(2), pages 291-321, May.
    6. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    7. Didier, Tatiana & Levine, Ross & Llovet Montanes, Ruth & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2021. "Capital market financing and firm growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    8. Sam Langfield & Marco Pagano, 2016. "Bank bias in Europe: effects on systemic risk and growth," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(85), pages 51-106.
    9. Meera Narayanaswamy & Charles Blitzer & Ana Carvajal, 2017. "The Importance of Local Capital Markets for Financing Development," World Bank Publications - Reports 30354, The World Bank Group.
    10. Hans Genberg, 2015. "Capital market development and emergence of institutional investors in the Asia-Pacific region," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 22(2), pages 1-26, December.
    11. Ashok Thomas & Luca Spataro, 2016. "The Effects Of Pension Funds On Markets Performance: A Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 1-33, February.
    12. Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Tian, Xuan & Xu, Yan, 2014. "Financial development and innovation: Cross-country evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 116-135.
    13. Catalan, Mario & Impavido, Gregorio & Musalem, Alberto R., 2000. "Contractual savings or stock market development - Which leads?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2421, The World Bank.
    14. Jeremy I. Bulow, 1982. "The Effect of Inflation on the Private Pension System," NBER Chapters, in: Inflation: Causes and Effects, pages 123-138, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Sami Ben Naceur & Mondher Cherif & Magda Kandil, 2014. "What drives the development of the MENA financial sector?," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 14(4), pages 212-223, December.
    16. Lord Mensah & R. K. Avuglah & Vincent Dedu, 2013. "Allocation of Assets on the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE)," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 4(2), pages 108-114, April.
    17. Jeannine Bailliu & Helmut Reisen, 1998. "Do funded pensions contribute to higher aggregate savings? A cross-country analysis," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 134(4), pages 692-711, December.
    18. Channarith Meng & Wade Donald Pfau, 2010. "The Role of Pension Funds in Capital Market Development," GRIPS Discussion Papers 10-17, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
    19. Thomas, Ashok & Spataro, Luca & Mathew, Nanditha, 2014. "Pension funds and stock market volatility: An empirical analysis of OECD countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 92-103.
    20. Leonardo Gambacorta & Jing Yang & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2014. "Financial structure and growth," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    21. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    22. Sin-Yu Ho, 2019. "The macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia: an empirical analysis," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 21(2), pages 174-193.
    23. Md. Qamruzzaman & Wei Jianguo, 2018. "Nexus between financial innovation and economic growth in South Asia: evidence from ARDL and nonlinear ARDL approaches," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 4(1), pages 1-19, December.
    24. Felicia O. Olokoyo & Oyakhilome W. Ibhagui & Abiola Babajide, 2020. "Macroeconomic indicators and capital market performance: Are the links sustainable?," Cogent Business & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1792258-179, January.
    25. Giesecke, Kay & Longstaff, Francis A. & Schaefer, Stephen & Strebulaev, Ilya A., 2014. "Macroeconomic effects of corporate default crisis: A long-term perspective," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 297-310.
    26. Bodie, Zvi, 1976. "Common Stocks as a Hedge against Inflation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(2), pages 459-470, May.
    27. Aneta Hryckiewicz, 2009. "Pension reform, institutional investors’ growth and stock market development in the developing countries: does it function?," NBP Working Papers 67, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    28. Amith Vikram Megaravalli & Gabriele Sampagnaro, 2018. "Macroeconomic indicators and their impact on stock markets in ASIAN 3: A pooled mean group approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1432450-143, January.
    29. Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Bohl, Martin T. & Serwa, Dobromił, 2019. "Pension funds, large capital inflows and stock returns in a thin market," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 347-387, July.
    30. Thomas GRJEBINE & Urszula SZCZERBOWICZ & Fabien TRIPIER, 2018. "Corporate debt structure and economic recoveries: a cross-country analysis," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 63, June.
    31. Cosmin Enache & Laura Raisa Miloş & Marius Cristian Miloş, 2015. "Pension reform and capital market development in Central and Eastern European countries," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 75-84, January.
    32. Mahdi Salehi, 2008. "The Role of Financial Intermediaries in Capital Market," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, vol. 11(1), pages 97-109, May.
    33. Davis, E. Philip, 1998. "Pension Funds: Retirement-Income Security and Capital Markets: An International Perspective," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198293040.
    34. Davis, E. Philip & Hu, Yu-Wei, 2008. "Does funding of pensions stimulate economic growth?," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 221-249, July.
    35. Molefhi, Koketso, 2021. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Capital Market Development in Botswana’s Economy," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 9(2), April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ashok Thomas & Luca Spataro, 2013. "Pension funds and Market Efficiency: A review," Discussion Papers 2013/164, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    2. Gazmore Rexhepi & Burim Gashi, 2022. "The Role of Pension Funds on Capital Market Growth in the New EU Member States," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 4, pages 437-454.
    3. Yilmaz Bayar & Marius Dan Gavriletea & Dan Constantin Danuletiu & Adina Elena Danuletiu & Emre Sakar, 2022. "Pension Funds, Insurance Companies and Stock Market Development: Evidence from Emerging Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-13, July.
    4. Alda, Mercedes, 2017. "The relationship between pension funds and the stock market: Does the aging population of Europe affect it?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 83-97.
    5. Armstrong, Angus & Davis, Philip & Ebell, Monique, 2015. "An economic analysis of pension tax proposals," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86276, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Thomas, Ashok & Spataro, Luca & Mathew, Nanditha, 2014. "Pension funds and stock market volatility: An empirical analysis of OECD countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 92-103.
    7. Xu Guangdong, 2021. "Reassessing the Literature on the Relationship Between Financial Structure and Economic Growth," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 72(2), pages 149-182, August.
    8. Babalos, Vassilios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros, 2020. "Pension funds and stock market development in OECD countries: Novel evidence from a panel VAR," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    9. Claessens, Stijn, 2017. "Regulation and structural change in financial systems," CEPR Discussion Papers 11822, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Alessio Ciarlone, 2019. "The relationship between financial development and growth: the case of emerging Europe," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 521, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. Guangdong Xu, 2022. "From financial structure to economic growth: Theory, evidence and challenges," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(1), February.
    12. Yuwei Hu, 2012. "Growth of Asian Pension Assets: Implications for Financial and Capital Markets," Working Papers id:5025, eSocialSciences.
    13. Zandberg, Eelco & Spierdijk, Laura, 2013. "Funding of pensions and economic growth: are they really related?," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(2), pages 151-167, April.
    14. Tsai, Hui-Ju & Chiang, Yao-Min, 2020. "Pension policy and the IPO market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    15. Joshua Duarte & João Sousa Andrade & Pedro Bação, 2023. "Dynamic effects of financial development on economic activity," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(29), pages 3329-3346, June.
    16. Ashok Thomas & Luca Spataro, 2016. "The Effects Of Pension Funds On Markets Performance: A Review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 1-33, February.
    17. Xue, Wenjun & He, Zhongzhi & Hu, Yu, 2021. "The stabilizing effects of pension funds vs. mutual funds on country-specific market risk," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    18. Hu, Yuwei, 2012. "Growth of Asian Pension Assets: Implications for Financial and Capital Markets," ADBI Working Papers 360, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    19. Popov, Alexander, 2017. "Evidence on finance and economic growth," Working Paper Series 2115, European Central Bank.
    20. Eleonora Cavallaro & Ilaria Villani, 2023. "Financial asymmetries, risk sharing and growth in the EU," Working Papers 2023.12, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARDL; inflation; moderating role; pension fund investments; total market capitalization; total traded value;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:emeeco:v:16:y:2024:i:2:p:248-269. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.emergingmarketsforum.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.