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The Monetary Causes of Inflation in Romania

Author

Listed:
  • Paun, Cristian

    (Academy of Economic Studies)

  • Topan, Vladimir

    (Academy of Economic Studies)

Abstract

Inflation is considered one of the most sensitive macroeconomic phenomena in modern economies (inducing significant distorsions in the productive structure of the economy and social injustice in the market). Three of the most important theories that explain the nature and the causes of inflation are: the Keynesian approach that considers inflation as an effect of higher costs or as one of the demand side (an increase in money supply, according to Keynes, will lead to an increase in the volume of transactions due to an extra demand that will push the economy closer to full employment); the monetarist approach (starting with Fisher) that approximates inflation through an index of prices and considers it a result of changes in the velocity of money, transactions volume and the money supply (M x V = p x T); and the Austrian approach that defines inflation exclusively as a monetary phenomenon and a result of expansionary monetary policies of the Central Banks. Based on these main theories, the present paper analyzes the relationship between broad money dynamics and CPI, in order to ilustrate the monetary causes of inflation in Romania.

Suggested Citation

  • Paun, Cristian & Topan, Vladimir, 2013. "The Monetary Causes of Inflation in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-23, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2013:i:1:p:5-23
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    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef1_13/rjef1_2013p5-23.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Helge Berger & Pär Österholm, 2011. "Does Money Growth Granger Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out‐of‐Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 87(276), pages 45-60, March.
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    4. Pelinescu, Elena & Caraiani, Petre, 2006. "Does the Inflation Targeting Have a Positive Role upon the Convergence of the Inflation Rate?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 3(3), pages 39-50, September.
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    6. Paul De Grauwe & Magdalena Polan, 2005. "Is Inflation Always and Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 107(2), pages 239-259, June.
    7. Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2010. "Measuring Core Inflation in Romania Using the Dobrescu Method – A Comparative Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 308-319, July.
    8. Gerald P. Dwyer & Rik Hafer, 1999. "Are money growth and inflation still related?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 84(Q2), pages 32-43.
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    Cited by:

    1. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Daniel Goyeau & Cornel Oros, 2015. "On the Long Run Money-Prices Relationship in CEE Countries," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 73-96, June.
    2. Pârţachi Ion & Gârlă Eugeniu, 2015. "Economic Insecurity as Systemic Risk," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 62(s1), pages 29-36, October.
    3. Güngör Turan & Jona Hoxhaj, 2015. "Money Supply and Prices Relation in Albanian Economy," Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Richtmann Publishing Ltd, vol. 4, December.
    4. Hicham Ayad, 2020. "Money Supply, Inflation and Economic Growth: Co-Integration and Causality Analysis," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 65(2), pages 29-45, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation; monetary policy; central bank; broad money;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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