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Are Capital Markets Integrated? A Test of Information Transmission within the European Union

Author

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  • Horobet, Alexandra

    (Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, Faculty of International Business and Economics)

  • Lupu, Radu

    (Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, Faculty of International Business and Economics)

Abstract

Central and Eastern European (CEE) stock markets have gradually attracted international investors’ attention after 1990, and their integration into the European capital market will lead to increased maturity of these markets, accompanied by higher attractiveness to international investors. The paper analyses the stock markets of five emerging countries from the CEE region – the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania and the Russian Federation – as against four major European Union markets – Austria, France, Germany and the United Kingdom – over the 2003-2007 period and aims at identifying the speed and significance of information transmission among them, as embedded in stock market returns. By employing co-integration and Granger causality tests with different data frequencies, we investigate the long- and short-run relationships among these markets and interpret the findings in the context of international capital market integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Horobet, Alexandra & Lupu, Radu, 2009. "Are Capital Markets Integrated? A Test of Information Transmission within the European Union," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(2), pages 64-80, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:6:y:2009:i:2:p:64-80
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    Cited by:

    1. Dajcman, Silvio & Festic, Mejra, 2012. "The Interdependence of the Stock Markets of Slovenia, The Czech Republic and Hungary with Some Developed European Stock Markets – The Effects of Joining the European Union and the Global Financial Cri," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 163-180, December.
    2. Lupu, Radu, 2011. "Shock transmission among the European Stock markets - Conferinta CRESTERE ECONOMICA SI SUSTENABILITATE SOCIALA. PROVOCARI SI PERSPECTIVE EUROPENE>," Institute for Economic Forecasting Conference Proceedings 101101, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    3. Mitica Pepi, 2022. "The Interdependence of the Stock Markets Developed in Central and Eastern- European Stock Markets - Represented by the Stock Indices," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 995-1000, Decembrie.
    4. Wim Meeusen (ed.), 2011. "The Economic Crisis and European Integration," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14130.
    5. Silvo Dajcman, 2012. "The Dynamics of Return Comovement and Spillovers Between the Czech and European Stock Markets in the Period 1997–2010," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(4), pages 368-390, August.
    6. CHIRILA, Viorica & CHIRILA, Ciprian, 2014. "Testing Stock Markets’ Integration From Central And Eastern European Countries Within Euro Zone," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 18(3), pages 76-88.
    7. Oanea, Dumitru-Cristian, 2015. "Financial markets integration: A vector error-correction approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 153-161.
    8. Alexandra Horobet & Irina Mnohoghitnei & Emanuela Marinela Luminita Zlatea & Lucian Belascu, 2022. "The Interplay between Digitalization, Education and Financial Development: A European Case Study," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, March.
    9. Zaimovic Azra & Arnaut-Berilo Almira & Bešlija Rijad, 2024. "International Portfolio Diversification Benefits: An Empirical Investigation of the 28 European Stock Markets During the Period 2014–2024," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 19(1), pages 96-112.
    10. Alexandra Horobet & Sorin Dumitrescu, 2011. "Time-varying Diversification Benefits: The Impact of Capital Market Integration on European Portfolio Holdings," Chapters, in: Wim Meeusen (ed.), The Economic Crisis and European Integration, chapter 13, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Halime Temel Nalın & Sevinç Güler, 2015. "Testing The Random Walk Hypothesis: An Application in the BRIC Countries and Turkey," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 18(55), pages 129-148, March.
    12. Chaido Dritsaki, 2011. "The Random Walk Hypothesis and Correlation in the Visegrad Countries Emerging Stock Markets," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 14(40), pages 25-56, June.
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    14. Iulia LUPU, 2015. "European Stock Markets Correlations In A Markov Switching Framework," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 103-119, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    European Union; capital market; emerging markets; co-integration; Granger causality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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