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Stock market integration and the speed of information transmission

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  • Alexandr Cerny

Abstract

Using a unique dataset covering 8 months of high frequency data on the indices from markets in the U.S., London, Frankfurt, Paris, Warsaw, and Prague, I investigate the issue of stock market integration from a novel perspective. Cointegration and Granger causality tests with data of different frequencies (from 5 minutes to 1 day) are performed. The aim is to describe the time structure in which markets react to the information revealed in prices on other markets. Particularly, I want to detect the speed of information transmission between the differentmarkets. The results suggest that markets react very quickly to the information revealed in the prices on other markets. In all cases the reaction occurs as soon as within 1 hour. The U.S. markets seem to be an important source of information for the markets in London and Frankfurt, which react within 30 minutes, with the first reaction occurring already within 5 minutes. Information transmission between the market in London and any of the two continental markets in Paris or Frankfurt appears to be relatively unimportant compared to the information transmission between the two continental markets. The stock market in Paris seems to react to the information revealed at the stock market in Frankfurt with a delay of 40 minutes to 1 hour. Similarly, the two relatively small Eastern European markets in Warsaw and Prague are found to react to the information revealed in the stock market prices in Frankfurt. The reaction of the market in Prague seems to be faster, occurring within 30 minutes, while reaction speed of the market in Warsaw is around 1 hour.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandr Cerny, 2004. "Stock market integration and the speed of information transmission," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp242, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    • Handle: RePEc:cer:papers:wp242
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    Cited by:

    1. Horobet, Alexandra & Lupu, Radu, 2009. "Are Capital Markets Integrated? A Test of Information Transmission within the European Union," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(2), pages 64-80, June.
    2. repec:wdi:papers:2011-1028 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Lyócsa, Štefan & Výrost, Tomáš & Baumöhl, Eduard, 2019. "Return spillovers around the globe: A network approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 133-146.
    4. Yash Pal Taneja, 2012. "Stock Market Integration: A Study of World’s Major Stock Exchanges with Special Reference to India," Vision, , vol. 16(2), pages 109-120, June.
    5. Apergis, Nicholas & Christou, Christina & Miller, Stephen M., 2014. "Country and industry convergence of equity markets: International evidence from club convergence and clustering," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 36-58.
    6. Ekaterina Dorodnykh, 2012. "What Is the Degree of Convergence among Developed Equity Markets?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(2), pages 2-16, April.
    7. Yusaku Nishimura & Yoshiro Tsutsui & Kenjiro Hirayama, 2016. "The Chinese Stock Market Does not React to the Japanese Market: Using Intraday Data to Analyse Return and Volatility Spillover Effects," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 67(3), pages 280-294, September.
    8. Pereira, Hernane Borges de Barros & Rosário, Raphael Silva do & Pereira, Eder Johnson de Area Leão & Moreira, Davidson Martins & Ferreira, Paulo & Miranda, José Garcia Vivas, 2022. "Network dynamic and stability on European Union," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 587(C).
    9. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Ahmed, Tanveer & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2014. "Relationship between Developed, Emerging and South Asian Equity Markets: Empirical Evidence with a Multivariate Framework Analysis," MPRA Paper 60398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Zakaria, Muhammad & Rehman, Mobeen ur & Ahmed, Tanveer & Khalid, Saniya, 2014. "Co-Movement of Pakistan Stock Exchange with India, S&P 500 and Nikkei 225: A Time-frequency (Wavelets) Analysis," MPRA Paper 60579, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Horobet, Alexandra & Ilie, Livia, 2007. "On the dynamic link between stock prices and exchange rates: evidence from Romania," MPRA Paper 6429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Numan Ülkü, 2011. "Modeling Comovement among Emerging Stock Markets: The Case of Budapest and Istanbul," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(3), pages 277-304, July.
    13. Horvath, Roman & Petrovski, Dragan, 2013. "International stock market integration: Central and South Eastern Europe compared," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 81-91.
    14. Boubaker, Sabri & Jouini, Jamel, 2014. "Linkages between emerging and developed equity markets: Empirical evidence in the PMG framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 322-335.
    15. Yusaku Nishimura & Yoshiro Tsutsui & Kenjiro Hirayama, 2012. "Return and Volatility Spillovers between Japanese and Chinese Stock Markets FAn Analysis of Overlapping Trading Hours with High-frequency Data," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 12-01, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    16. Wojciech Grabowski, 2019. "Givers or Recipients? Co-Movements between Stock Markets of CEE-3 and Developed Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-24, November.
    17. Radman Peša, Anita & Brajković, Ana, 2015. "Testing The ‘Black Swan Effect’ on Croatian Stock Market Between 2000 and 2013," MPRA Paper 69223, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    18. Shalini TALWAR, 2019. "Exploring Contemporaneous Correlations Among BRICS Stock Markets," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 3, pages 51-59.
    19. Mukherjee, Dr. Kedar nath & Mishra, Dr. R. K., 2008. "Stock Market Integration and Volatility Spillover:India and its Major Asian Counterparts," MPRA Paper 12788, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Ani Stoykova & Mariya Paskaleva, 2018. "Correlation Dynamics between Southeast European Capital Markets," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 49-82.
    21. Dragan Tevdovski, 2014. "Extreme negative coexceedances in South Eastern European stock markets," CREATES Research Papers 2014-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    22. Eduard Baumöhl, 2014. "Determinanty integrácie akciových trhov krajín V4 [Determinants of CEE-4 Stock Market Integration]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(3), pages 347-365.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock market integration; Market comovement; High-frequency data; Speed of information transmission; Cointegration; Granger causality.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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