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The dynamics of bondmarket development, stockmarket development and economic growth: Evidence from the G-20 countries

Author

Listed:
  • Pradhan, Rudra

    (Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur)

  • Arvin, Mak

    (Trent University)

  • Norman, Neville

    (University of Melbourne)

  • Bahmani, Sahar

    (University of Wisconsin)

Abstract

Purpose – The paper investigates whether Granger causal relationships exist between bond market development, stock market development, economic growth and two other macroeconomic variables, namely, inflation rate and real interest rate. The study aims to expand the domain of economic growth by including a more in-depth analysis of the possible impact that bond market and stock market development has on economic growth than is normally found in the literature. Design/methodology/approach – This paper uses a panel data set of the G-20 countries for the period 1991-2016. It uses a panel vector auto-regression model to reveal the nature of any Granger causality among the five variables. Findings – The paper provides empirical insights that both bond market development and stock market development are cointegrated with economic growth, inflation rate and real interest rate. The most robust result from the panel Granger causality test is that bond market development, stock market development, inflation rate and real interest rate are demonstrable drivers of economic growth in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Pradhan, Rudra & Arvin, Mak & Norman, Neville & Bahmani, Sahar, 2020. "The dynamics of bondmarket development, stockmarket development and economic growth: Evidence from the G-20 countries," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 25(49), pages 119-147.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:joefas:0161
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    5. Robiyanto Robiyanto & Budi Frensidy & Ignatius Roni Setyawan & Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta, 2021. "A Different View on ASEAN Capital Market Integration," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-9, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bond market development; Stock market development; Economic growth; G-20 countries; 20 countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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