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Assessing the Volatility of the Euro on Foreign Exchange Markets: Further Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications

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  • Tronzano, Marco

    (Università degli Studi di Genova, Dipartimento di Economia e Metodi Quantitativi)

Abstract

This paper assesses the validity of the ECB ‘benign neglect’ approach towards foreign exchange markets. I extend the analysis performed in Tronzano (2008) on the U$/Euro rate, applying a wide range of conditional volatility models to Yen/Euro data from 1999 to 2007. An overall evaluation of results, in the light of the literature on the welfare effects of nominal exchange rate volatility and optimal rules for open economies, reveals that the ECB inwardoriented approach was fully appropriate. In line with Tronzano (2008), this paper excludes therefore substantial welfare gains from a policy incorporating a systematic reaction to exchange rate dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Tronzano, Marco, 2009. "Assessing the Volatility of the Euro on Foreign Exchange Markets: Further Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 62(1), pages 103-131.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:ecoint:0016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate Volatility; Garch Models; Monetary Policy Rules; ECB; Yen/Euro Exchange Rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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