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The Effects of Unemployment on Economic Growth in Greece. An ARDL Bound Test Approach

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  • Nikolaos Dritsakis
  • Pavlos Stamatiou

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between unemployment rate, economic growth and inflation rate in Greece, using annual data covering the period 1995-2015. The unit root tests results indicated that the variables have different integration order. Subsequently, the bounds testing (ARDL) approach and ECM-ARDL model are applied in order to examine the long-run and the causal relationship between the variables. The empirical results of the study revealed, both in the short and long-run, that there is a unidirectional causal relationship between unemployment and economic growth with direction from unemployment to economic growth, as well as a unidirectional causality running from inflation to economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaos Dritsakis & Pavlos Stamatiou, 2016. "The Effects of Unemployment on Economic Growth in Greece. An ARDL Bound Test Approach," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 19(62), pages 53-72, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rej:journl:v:19:y:2016:i:62:p:53-72
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(17), pages 1979-1990.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Mohammed Yelwa & Okoroafor O.K.David & Awe, Emmanuel Omoniyi, 2015. "Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation, Unemployment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: 1987-2012," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 102-109, August.
    6. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    2. Ugur Korkut PATA & Suleyman YURTKURAN & Adem KALCA, 2018. "A revisited causality analysis of Okun’s Law: The case of Turkey," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(4(617), W), pages 121-134, Winter.
    3. Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship & Daw, Olebogeng David, 2021. "An increase of electricity generation can lead to economic growth in South Africa," MPRA Paper 111018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Karikari-Apau, Ellen & Abeti, Wilson, 2019. "The Impact of Unemployment on Economic Growth in China," MPRA Paper 96100, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Mustafa Orhan Özer, 2022. "The Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment Rate: Fractional Frequency Fourier ARDL Bounds Test Approach," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-1), pages 269-292, June.
    6. Dankumo, Ali Madina & Ishak, Suryati & Oluwaseyi, Zubair Azeem & Onisanwa, Idowu Daniel, 2019. "Does Okun’s Law Explain the Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment in Nigeria?," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 53(3), pages 153-161.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    unemployment; economic growth; inflation; ARDL; Vector Error Correction Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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