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Tests de racines unitaires multiples et saisonnalité

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  • Fabrice Barthélémy

Abstract

[eng] Multiple unit root tests and seasonality. . To test multiple unit roots, Dickey et Pantula have shown that the usual upward testing sequence, which consists in testing first for one unit root, is statistically false. They built a downward testing sequence where the highest integration level is tested first. The aim of this paper is to extend this result to the case of seasonal unit roots. [fre] Tests de racines unitaires multiples et saisonnalité. . Pour tester la présence de racines unitaires multiples, Dickey et Pantula ont montré que la procédure séquentielle ascendante, qui consiste à tester en premier la présence d'une seule racine unitaire, est statistiquement fausse. Ils ont construit un test séquentiel descendant où l'on teste en premier le plus grand nombre de racines unitaires possibles. L'objet de cet article est d'étendre ce résultat au cas où les racines sont saisonnières.

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  • Fabrice Barthélémy, 1997. "Tests de racines unitaires multiples et saisonnalité," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 48(3), pages 673-683.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1997_num_48_3_409906
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1997.409906
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1997.409906
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    1. Osborn, Denise R, et al, 1988. "Seasonality and the Order of Integration for Consumption," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 50(4), pages 361-377, November.
    2. Beaulieu, J Joseph & Miron, Jeffrey A, 1992. "A Cross Country Comparison of Seasonal Cycles and Business Cycles," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 102(413), pages 772-788, July.
    3. Barthelemy, Fabrice & Lubrano, Michel, 1996. "Unit roots tests and SARIMA models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 147-154, February.
    4. Hylleberg, S. & Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. & Yoo, B. S., 1990. "Seasonal integration and cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 215-238.
    5. Dickey, David A & Pantula, Sastry G, 1987. "Determining the Ordering of Differencing in Autoregressive Processes," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 5(4), pages 455-461, October.
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    1. Benoit Faye & Éric Le Fur, 2010. "L'étude du lien entre cycle et saisonnalité sur un marché immobilier résidentiel. Le cas de l'habitat ancien à Bordeaux," Revue d'économie régionale et urbaine, Armand Colin, vol. 0(5), pages 937-965.

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