IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/prg/jnlpol/v2003y2003i4id413.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Převzetí eura: brzda nebo motor reálné konvergence?
[Adoption of euro: obstacle or engine of real convergence?]

Author

Listed:
  • Oldřich Dědek

Abstract

The article arrives to the following conclusions. First, the optimal currency area theory cannot deliver critical (objective) values of tests, whose passing would guarantee that costs of adoption of euro would be lower than the benefits. Second, several empirical observations strongly support the hypothesis that early adoption of euro by the Czech Republic would not incur any substantial losses. Third, several recent studies focused on testing the synchronisation of Czech business cycle vis-à-vis Eurozone do apply analytical techniques inappropriately, which implies biased results. Fourth, the Czech economy has enough experience with excessively volatile exchange rate. The greatest advantage of adoption of euro will consist in a replacement of exchange rate fluctuations and substantially higher stability of inflation. In quantitative terms, the weight of accession countries in Eurozone will be too small to influence the overall inflation and thus co-determine the European Central Bank monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Oldřich Dědek, 2003. "Převzetí eura: brzda nebo motor reálné konvergence? [Adoption of euro: obstacle or engine of real convergence?]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2003(4), pages 505-515.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2003:y:2003:i:4:id:413
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.413
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://polek.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.polek.413.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: http://polek.vse.cz/doi/10.18267/j.polek.413.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18267/j.polek.413?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hochreiter, Eduard & Winckler, Georg, 1995. "The advantages of tying Austria's hands: The success of the hard currency strategy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 83-111, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yu Hsing, 2005. "Effects of Macroeconomic Policies and Stock Market Performance on the Estonian Economy," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2005(2), pages 109-116.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lars Calmfors, 2001. "Wages and Wage-Bargaining Institutions in the EMU – A Survey of the Issues," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 28(4), pages 325-351, December.
    2. Carsten Hefeker, 2002. "Lohnpolitik und Geldpolitik in Euroland," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 71(3), pages 354-367.
    3. Jarko Fidrmuc, 2004. "The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria, Intra‐industry Trade, and EMU Enlargement," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 22(1), pages 1-12, January.
    4. Michael J. Dueker & Andreas M. Fischer, 2001. "The mechanics of a successful exchange rate peg: lessons for emerging markets," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 83(May), pages 47-56.
    5. Heinz Handler, 2003. "From Hard Currency Policy to Monetary Union," WIFO Working Papers 210, WIFO.
    6. Gerhard Fenz & Martin Schneider, 2006. "Is Germany’s Influence on Austria Waning?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 24-45.
    7. Johnston, Alison & Regan, Aidan, 2014. "European integration and the incompatibility of national varieties of capitalism problems with institutional divergence in a monetary union," MPIfG Discussion Paper 14/15, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    8. Wörgötter, Andreas & Brixiova Schwidrowski, Zuzana, 2020. "Monetary Unions of Small Currencies and a Dominating Member: What Policies Work Best for Benefiting from the CMA?," IZA Policy Papers 163, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:76:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Jarko Fidrmuc, 2004. "The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria, Intra‐industry Trade, and EMU Enlargement," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 22(1), pages 1-12, January.
    11. Szapáry, György, 2000. "Az árfolyamrendszer kiválasztása az átmenet országaiban az EMU-csatlakozás előtt [Choice of exchange-rate regime in transition countries before joining the EMU]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 951-961.
    12. Loewald, Christopher & Wörgötter, Andreas, 2019. "Do monetary unions dream of structural reforms?," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 01/2019, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
    13. Jacques Mélitz, 1995. "A suggested reformulation of the theory of optimal currency areas," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 281-298, July.
    14. Thorvaldur Gylfason & Eduard Hochreiter, 2023. "To Grow or Not to Grow: Belarus and Lithuania," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 65(1), pages 137-167, March.
    15. Sveinn Agnarsson & Axel Hall & Tryggvi Thor Herbertsson & Sigurður Ingólfsson & Gylfi Magnússon & Gylfi Zoega, 1999. "EMU and the Icelandic labour market," Economics wp03, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
    16. Helene Schuberth & Gert D. Wehinger, 1999. "Costs of European Monetary Union: Evidence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Effectiveness," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Manfred M. Fischer & Peter Nijkamp (ed.), Spatial Dynamics of European Integration, chapter 3, pages 35-62, Springer.
    17. Ernest Gnan & Claudia Kwapil & Maria Teresa Valderrama, 2005. "EU and EMU Entry: A Monetary Policy Regime Change for Austria?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 53-68.
    18. Leertouwer, Erik & Maier, Philipp, 2001. "Who creates political business cycles: should central banks be blamed?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 445-463, September.
    19. Calmfors, Lars, 2001. "Wages and wage-bargaining institutions in the EMU – a survey of the issues," Seminar Papers 690, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
    20. Maurice Obstfeld, 1997. "Europe's Gamble," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 28(2), pages 241-317.
    21. Stefan W. Schmitz, 2016. "The OeNB’s reaction to the end of the Bretton Woods system: tracing the roots of the Indicator," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 190-210.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    optimum currency area; real convergence; adoption of euro; cost-benefit analysis; real appreciation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2003:y:2003:i:4:id:413. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stanislav Vojir (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/uevsecz.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.