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On the Non-Neutrality of Money: Evidence from the 1990s

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  • Petr Duczynski

Abstract

The paper examines the cross-country relations between nominal money and real output between 1990 and 2000. Both high money growth rates and declines in money are connected with below-average output growth rates. The association between the monetary base and real output is weaker than between M1 (or M2) and real output. I observe no tendency of money changes to precede output changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Petr Duczynski, 2004. "On the Non-Neutrality of Money: Evidence from the 1990s," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2004(1), pages 40-54.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2004:y:2004:i:1:id:230:p:40-54
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.230
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 1989. "Does Monetary Policy Matter? A New Test in the Spirit of Friedman and Schwartz," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989, Volume 4, pages 121-184, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Attfield, C. L. F. & Demery, D. & Duck, N. W., 1981. "A quarterly model of unanticipated monetary growth, output and the price level in the U.K. 1963-1978," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 331-350.
    3. Barro, Robert J, 1978. "Unanticipated Money, Output, and the Price Level in the United States," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(4), pages 549-580, August.
    4. Kormendi, Roger C & Meguire, Philip G, 1984. "Cross-Regime Evidence of Macroeconomic Rationality," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 92(5), pages 875-908, October.
    5. Wogin, Gillian, 1980. "Unemployment and monetary policy under rational expectations : Some Canadian evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 59-68, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Petr Duczynski, 2005. "On the Empirics of the Non-neutrality of Money: Evidence from Developed Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 55(5-6), pages 267-282, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    consumer prices; M1; M2; monetary base; real output;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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