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Anticipated versus Unanticipated Money in Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Rahmi Yamak

    (Karadeniz Technical University)

  • Yakup Kucukkale

    (Ondokuz Mayis University)

Abstract

This Study investigates the validity of the policy ineffectiveness hypothesis of Rational Expectations-Natural Rate Models that only unanticipated policy changes affect real economic variables by using Turkish data over the period of 1980:I-1995:I. The procedure used to test the hypothesis is the autoregressive system introduced by McGee and Stasiak (1985). The empirical results reported in this paper imply that unanticipated monetary policy appears to play an insignificant role in improving real economic activity, and that anticipated monetary policy exerts a significant expansionary impact upon real economic activity. Such evidence for Turkey strongly rejects the policy ineffectiveness hypothesis of Rational Expectations-Natural Rate Models.

Suggested Citation

  • Rahmi Yamak & Yakup Kucukkale, 2002. "Anticipated versus Unanticipated Money in Turkey," Macroeconomics 0211011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0211011
    Note: Type of Document - Acrobat PDF; prepared on PC; to print on A4; pages: 10 ; figures: included. pdf document submitted via ftp
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Barro, Robert J, 1977. "Unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(2), pages 101-115, March.
    5. Canarella, Giorgio & Pollard, Stephen K., 1989. "Unanticipated monetary growth, output, and the price level in Latin America: An empirical investigation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 345-358, April.
    6. Robert J. Barro & Mark Rush, 1980. "Unanticipated Money and Economic Activity," NBER Chapters, in: Rational Expectations and Economic Policy, pages 23-73, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Apanisile Olumuyiwa Tolulope, 2013. "A Bound Test Analysis of Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Output and Prices in Nigeria 2000-2010," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 5(3), pages 136-147.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    anticipated unanticipated money growth sur shock;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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