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KRAS Early Testing: Consensus Initiative and Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation for Metastatic Colorectal Patients in an Italian Setting

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  • Carlo Barone
  • Carmine Pinto
  • Nicola Normanno
  • Lorenzo Capussotti
  • Francesco Cognetti
  • Alfredo Falcone
  • Lorenzo Mantovani

Abstract

KRAS testing is relevant for the choice of the most appropriate first-line therapy of metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC). Strategies for preventing unequal access to the test should be implemented, but their relevance in the practice is related to economic sustainability. The study adopted the Delphi technique to reach a consensus on several topics. Issues related to execution of KRAS testing were identified by an expert’s board and proposed to 108 Italian oncologists and pathologists through two subsequent questionnaires. The emerging proposal was evaluated by decision analyses models employed by technology assessment agencies in order to assess cost-effectiveness. Alternative therapeutic strategies included most commonly used chemotherapy regimens alone or in combination with cetuximab or bevacizumab. The survey indicated that time interval for obtaining KRAS test should not exceed 15 days, 10 days being an optimal interval. To assure the access to proper treatment, a useful strategy should be to anticipate the test after radical resection in patients at high risk of relapse. Early KRAS testing in high risk CRC patients generates incremental cost-effectiveness ratios between 6,000 and 13,000 Euro per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained. In extensive sensitivity analyses ICER’s were always below 15,000 Euro per QALY gained, far within the threshold of 60,000 Euro/QALY gained accepted by regulatory institutions in Italy. In metastatic CRC a time interval higher than 15 days for result of KRAS testing limits access to therapeutic choices. Anticipating KRAS testing before the onset of metastatic disease in patients at high risk does not affect the sustainability and cost-effectiveness profile of cetuximab in first-line mCRC. Early KRAS testing may prevent this inequality in high-risk patients, whether they develop metastases, and is a cost-effective strategy. Based on these results, present joined recommendations of Italian societies of Oncology and Pathology should be updated including early KRAS testing.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlo Barone & Carmine Pinto & Nicola Normanno & Lorenzo Capussotti & Francesco Cognetti & Alfredo Falcone & Lorenzo Mantovani, 2014. "KRAS Early Testing: Consensus Initiative and Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation for Metastatic Colorectal Patients in an Italian Setting," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0085897
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0085897
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rowe, Gene & Wright, George, 1999. "The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 353-375, October.
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    1. Stuart J. Wright & William G. Newman & Katherine Payne, 2019. "Accounting for Capacity Constraints in Economic Evaluations of Precision Medicine: A Systematic Review," PharmacoEconomics, Springer, vol. 37(8), pages 1011-1027, August.

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