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Capitalization of Farm Policy Benefits and the Rate of Return to Policy-Created Assets: Evidence from California Dairy Quota

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  • Daniel A. Sumner
  • Norbert L. W. Wilson

Abstract

The rate of return to ownership of California dairy quota is about 27% per year—well above that of typical financial assets, but in line with other measured returns to agricultural quotas. Ownership of dairy quota does not contribute positively to total variation of typical portfolios, including those of dairy farm assets, and so contributes little or no portfolio risk. A plausible alternative hypothesis for the high rate of return is that quota owners see significant risk of policy change that would reduce future quota values. That is, they face default risk in quota ownership.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel A. Sumner & Norbert L. W. Wilson, 2005. "Capitalization of Farm Policy Benefits and the Rate of Return to Policy-Created Assets: Evidence from California Dairy Quota," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 27(2), pages 245-258.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:revage:v:27:y:2005:i:2:p:245-258.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-9353.2005.00224.x
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    1. Wilson, Norbert L.W. & Sumner, Daniel A., 2004. "Explaining Variations in the Price of Dairy Quota: Flow Returns, Liquidity, Quota Characteristics, and Policy Risk," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(1), pages 1-16, April.
    2. Peter L. Arcus, 1978. "THE VALUES OF MILK QUOTAS IN BRITISH COLUMBIA: An Economic Analysis," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 26(2), pages 62-71, July.
    3. Daniel A. Summer & Christopher A. Wolf, 2002. "Diversification, Vertical Integration, and the Regional Pattern of Dairy Farm Size," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 442-457.
    4. Daniel A. Sumner & Christopher A. Wolf, 1996. "Quotas without Supply Control: Effects of Dairy Quota Policy in California," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 78(2), pages 354-366.
    5. James A. Seagraves, 1969. "Capitalized Values of Tobacco Allotments and the Rate of Return to Allotment Owners," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 51(2), pages 320-334.
    6. Kevin Chen & Karl Meilke, 1998. "The Simple Analytics of Transferable Production Quota: Implications for the Marginal Cost of Ontario Milk Production," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 46(1), pages 37-52, March.
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