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Shortages, high-demand occupations, and the post-Brexit UK immigration system

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  • Madeleine Sumption

Abstract

One of the key questions facing immigration policy-makers is which jobs should be eligible for work visas. This question has dominated discussions about the post-Brexit immigration system, which has focused in particular on the issue of shortages. While the UK government resisted calls to open labour migration routes in low-wage or low-skilled jobs with high demand for foreign workers, workers in middle- and high-skilled jobs that are deemed to face a labour market shortage can qualify with significantly lower wages. This paper examines the arguments for and against using immigration policy to prioritize labour migration in ‘shortage occupations’. It argues that the idea is politically appealing but problematic in practice. Shortages are more difficult to measure satisfactorily than policy-makers may imagine, and different methodologies produce different results. This makes it unwise to develop an immigration policy that depends too heavily on the notion that the shortage list is an accurate reflection of what is really happening in the labour market.

Suggested Citation

  • Madeleine Sumption, 2022. "Shortages, high-demand occupations, and the post-Brexit UK immigration system," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 38(1), pages 97-111.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:oxford:v:38:y:2022:i:1:p:97-111.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/oxrep/grab046
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alicia Sasser Modestino & Daniel Shoag & Joshua Ballance, 2020. "Upskilling: Do Employers Demand Greater Skill When Workers Are Plentiful?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(4), pages 793-805, October.
    2. Martin Ruhs, 2013. "The Price of Rights: Regulating International Labor Migration," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10140.
    3. Madeleine Sumption, 2017. "Labour immigration after Brexit: questions and trade-offs in designing a work permit system for EU citizens," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 33(suppl_1), pages 45-53.
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    Cited by:

    1. Deboshree Ghosh & Heather Dickey, 2024. "The Wage Impact of Immigration into the UK After the Great Recession," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 1943-1961, December.
    2. Michael A Clemens, 2022. "The economic and fiscal effects on the United States from reduced numbers of refugees and asylum seekers," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 38(3), pages 449-486.

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