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Building bridges to peace: a quantitative evaluation of power-sharing agreements

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  • Hannes Mueller
  • Christopher Rauh

Abstract

Power-sharing agreements are used as a tool to reduce political violence in regions of conflict, but agreements are often followed by violence. This is due to the fact that such agreements are introduced during periods of political violence when a country is inside the conflict trap, which makes it difficult to distinguish the effect of the agreement from the political context that generates persistent political violence. In this study, we match pre-agreement conflict risk to estimate the effects of power-sharing agreements on violence using a difference-in-difference method. The results show that violence falls immediately after an agreement, with the effects strengthening over time. Comprehensive agreements tend to be particularly successful. We show that broader institutional changes that have their nucleus in the agreements are crucial elements explaining these large changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2024. "Building bridges to peace: a quantitative evaluation of power-sharing agreements," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 39(118), pages 411-467.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecpoli:v:39:y:2024:i:118:p:411-467.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/epolic/eiae010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    F51; D74; O1;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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