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Tracing the Effects of Agricultural Commodity Prices and Food Costs

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  • Catherine J. Morrison Paul
  • James M. MacDonald

Abstract

We estimate a system of product and input-demand equations for food-processing industries to trace the links among farm commodity prices, food-processing costs, and food prices. Disembodied technical change, which likely reflects increasing consumer demand for convenience and product variety, has sharply reduced agricultural materials demand relative to most other food-processing inputs. This implies weakening impacts of farm price shocks on food prices. But improving quality and falling relative prices for agricultural inputs, in combination with increasing factor substitution, has counteracted these forces to encourage greater usage of agricultural inputs in food processing, and limit these trends. Copyright 2003, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine J. Morrison Paul & James M. MacDonald, 2003. "Tracing the Effects of Agricultural Commodity Prices and Food Costs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(3), pages 633-646.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:85:y:2003:i:3:p:633-646
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1467-8276.00461
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    1. Anderson, David P. & Outlaw, Joe L. & Bryant, Henry L. & Richardson, James W. & Ernstes, David P. & Raulston, J. Marc & Welch, J. Mark & Knapek, George M. & Herbst, Brian K. & Allison, Marc S., 2008. "The Effects of Ethanol on Texas Food and Feed," Research Reports 257898, Texas A&M University, Agricultural and Food Policy Center.
    2. Zhang, Wei & Alston, Julian M., 2013. "Factor Substitution and Technical Change in the U.S. Dairy Processing and Manufacturing Industry," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150707, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Galinato, Gregmar I. & Chouinard, Hayley H., 2018. "Strategic interaction and institutional quality determinants of environmental regulations," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 114-132.
    4. Mankan M. Koné & Carl Gaigné & Lota D. Tamini, 2017. "Supply Uncertainty and Foreign Direct Investment in Agri-food Industry," Cahiers de recherche CREATE 2017-04, CREATE.
    5. Miller, J. Corey & Coble, Keith H., 2007. "Cheap food policy: Fact or rhetoric?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 98-111, February.
    6. Trinks, Arjan & Hille, Erik, 2023. "Carbon Costs and Industrial Firm Performance: Evidence from International Microdata," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277705, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Cohen, Jeffrey P. & Paul, Catherine J. Morrison, 2005. "Agglomeration economies and industry location decisions: the impacts of spatial and industrial spillovers," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 215-237, May.
    8. van Soest, Daan P. & List, John A. & Jeppesen, Tim, 2006. "Shadow prices, environmental stringency, and international competitiveness," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1151-1167, July.
    9. Yue Jin & Chen Chen & Zhanyi Shi, 2021. "Spillover Effect of FDI on Food Exports: Based on Firm-Level Analysis in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-20, April.
    10. Abayateye, F. & Skolrud, T. & Galinato, G., 2018. "Environmental Regulation Stringency and U.S. Agriculture," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277138, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    11. Jonaki Sengupta & Ranjanendra Narayan Nag & Bhaskar Goswami, 2017. "Commodity Price Fluctuations and Unemployment in a Dependent Economy," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 11(3), September.
    12. Yulia Vymyatnina & Evgeniya Goryacheva, 2014. "Monetary Policy Rules in the Countries of the Customs Union," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series Ec-05/14, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
    13. Erik Hille, 2018. "Pollution havens: international empirical evidence using a shadow price measure of climate policy stringency," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1137-1171, May.
    14. Jeffrey Bernstein & Theofanis Mamuneas, 2008. "Public infrastructure, input efficiency and productivity growth in the Canadian food processing industry," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 1-13, February.
    15. Hille, Erik & Althammer, Wilhelm, 2015. "Measuring climate policy stringency: A shadow price approach using energy prices," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112804, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Wilhelm Althammer & Erik Hille, 2016. "Measuring climate policy stringency: a shadow price approach," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 23(4), pages 607-639, August.
    17. Chapple, Wendy & Paul, Catherine J. Morrison & Harris, Richard, 2005. "Manufacturing and corporate environmental responsibility: cost implications of voluntary waste minimisation," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 347-373, September.
    18. Tingting Tong & T. Edward Yu & Kimberly Jensen & Daniel De La Torre Ugarte & Seong‐Hoon Cho, 2016. "Impact of Public Infrastructure on Output of U.S. Food Manufacturing Industries: A Heterogeneous Dynamic Panel Approach," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 439-453, November.
    19. Pritchett, James G. & Thilmany, Dawn D. & Johnson, Kamina K., 2005. "Animal Disease Economic Impacts: A Survey of Literature and Typology of Research Approaches," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-23.
    20. Jan Zwolak, 2018. "Sold Commercial Production and Its Financial Security in Polish Agriculture," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 141-151.
    21. Wendy Chapple & Richard Harris & Catherine Paul, 2006. "The cost implications of waste reduction: factor demand, competitiveness and policy implications," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 245-258, December.

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