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Aggregate Sources of Relative Price Variability Among Agricultural Commodities

Author

Listed:
  • John S. Lapp
  • Vincent H. Smith

Abstract

A measure of relative price variability among forty-seven agricultural commodities is developed for the period 1962 to 1987. Econometric models are used to explore the effects of macroeconomic instability on relative price variability within the agricultural sector. The results show that these relative prices are more variable when actual and unanticipated inflation rates are higher. They may also be more variable during periods when real shocks to the macroeconomy are relatively large. Thus, monetary and fiscal events are not neutral with respect to the agricultural sector because macroeconomic instability appears to create instability and increased uncertainty in agricultural markets.

Suggested Citation

  • John S. Lapp & Vincent H. Smith, 1992. "Aggregate Sources of Relative Price Variability Among Agricultural Commodities," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 74(1), pages 1-9.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:74:y:1992:i:1:p:1-9.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1242984
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher B. Barrett, 1999. "The effects of real exchange rate depreciation on stochastic producer prices in low‐income agriculture," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 20(3), pages 215-230, May.
    2. V. H. Smith & J. S. Lapp, 1993. "Relative Price Variability Among Agricultural Commodities And Macroeconomic Instability In The United Kingdom," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 272-283, May.
    3. Khalid Mushtaq & Abdul Ghafoor & Abedullah & Farhan Ahmad, 2011. "Impact of Monetary and Macroeconomic Factors on Wheat Prices in Pakistan: Implications for Food Security," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 16(1), pages 95-110, Jan-Jun.
    4. Cooper, Joseph & Delbecq, Benoît, 2014. "A multi-region approach to assessing fiscal and farm level consequences of government support for farm risk management," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 3(3), pages 1-23, December.
    5. Cooper, Joseph & Hungerford, Ashley & O'Donoghue, Erik, 2015. "Interactions of Shallow Loss Support and Traditional Federal Crop Insurance: Building a Framework for Assessing Commodity Support Issues for the Next Farm Act," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205310, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Cooper, Joseph C., 2009. "Payments under the Average Crop Revenue Program: Implications for Government Costs and Producer Preferences," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 38(1), pages 1-16, April.
    7. Cooper, Joseph C. & Delbecq, Benoit A. & Davis, Christopher G., 2012. "Fiscal and Farm Level Consequences of “Shallow Loss” Commodity Support," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124199, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Arnade, Carlos Anthony & Osborne, Stefan, 2001. "Measurement And Testing For Neutrality Of Foreign Price And Cpi Transmission In Russia," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20625, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Shih-wen Hu & Ching-chong Lai & Vey Wang, 1999. "Monetary Announcement and Commodity Price Dynamics: A Portfolio Balance Model," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 43(1), pages 71-81, March.
    10. Baek, Jungho, 2010. "Inflation and Intramarket Price Variability: Empirical Evidence from U.S. Food Products," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, vol. 33(4), pages 1-19, October.
    11. Ting-Ting Sun & Chi-Wei Su & Ran Tao & Meng Qin, 2021. "Are Agricultural Commodity Prices on a Conventional Wisdom with Inflation?," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
    12. Jaghdani, Tinoush Jamali & Brümmer, Bernhard, 2011. "Demand for Irrigation Water for Pistachio Production from Depleting Groundwater Resources: Spatial Econometric Approach," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114457, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. repec:kap:iaecre:v:11:y:2005:i:1:p:111-119 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Ioanna Reziti, 2005. "The Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables and Relative Price Variability in Greek Agriculture," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 11(1), pages 111-119, February.
    15. David Parsley Helen Popper, 2002. "Inflation And Price Dispersion In Equity Markets And In Goods And Services Markets," Macroeconomics 0211004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Cooper, Joseph C., 2008. "A Revenue-Based Alternative to the Counter-Cyclical Payment Program," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6197, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    17. Cooper, Joseph C., 2009. "ACRE: A Revenue-Based Alternative to Price-Based Commodity Payment Programs," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49180, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Pannell, David J. & Malcolm, Bill & Kingwell, Ross S., 2000. "Are we risking too much? Perspectives on risk in farm modelling," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 69-78, June.

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