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Fiscal Projections by the Oesterreichische Nationalbank: Methods and Motives

Author

Listed:
  • Doris Prammer

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank)

  • Lukas Reiss

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Economic Analysis Division)

Abstract

The financial and economic crisis and recent reforms in economic governance have increased the importance of fiscal projections both inside and outside central banks. The OeNB fiscal projection model is driven by external demand, by considerations of the comparability of subcomponents with cash data (or other administrative information), and by the difference between the driving factors of expenditure and revenue categories. The accuracy of ESCB central banks’ fiscal projections is limited by prudency requirements as well as the no-policy change assumption (in the medium run) and by one-off events and a lack of information on smaller entities (in the short run).

Suggested Citation

  • Doris Prammer & Lukas Reiss, 2014. "Fiscal Projections by the Oesterreichische Nationalbank: Methods and Motives," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 31-48.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbmp:y:2014:i:2:b:2
    as

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    File URL: https://www.oenb.at/dam/jcr:1a3feded-2fb2-4081-9058-7d48153a4d3b/mop_2014_q2_analyse2.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Doris Prammer & Lukas Reiss, 2015. "Impact of Inflation on Fiscal Aggregates in Austria," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 27-41.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal projections; tax elasticities; projection errors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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