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Análisis de la histéresis del desempleo en México ante shocks macroeconómicos, 1999-2014

Author

Listed:
  • José Carlos Trejo García

    (Instituto Politécnico Nacional, México)

  • Estefanía Carolina Rivera Hernández

    (Instituto Politécnico Nacional, México)

  • Humberto Ríos Bolívar

    (Instituto Politécnico Nacional, México)

Abstract

Este estudio expone el comportamiento de la tasa de desempleo para México y muestra la dependencia con su propia historia con variables macro. De esta manera, se incorpora el concepto de histéresis o persistencia que intenta separar esta inercia en la tasa de desempleo y algunos determinantes macroeconómicos endógenos. Los resultados obtenidos muestran una inercia elevada en el mercado laboral mexicano, justificado por los niveles monetarios, así como la dependencia de los niveles de inversión, sin dejar de considerar que los shocks de las exportaciones afectan al desempleo en el largo plazo.

Suggested Citation

  • José Carlos Trejo García & Estefanía Carolina Rivera Hernández & Humberto Ríos Bolívar, 2017. "Análisis de la histéresis del desempleo en México ante shocks macroeconómicos, 1999-2014," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1228-1248, Octubre-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:nax:conyad:v:62:y:2017:i:4:p:1228-1248
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Matthias Göcke, 2002. "Various Concepts of Hysteresis Applied in Economics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(2), pages 167-188, April.
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    3. Juan Byron Correa F & Javier Andrés Castro H & Olga Lucía Bríñez G & Christian Manuel Posso S, 2006. "Histéresis en el desempleo en Colombia o presencia de cambio estructural," Documentos de Trabajo 4179, Universidad del Valle, CIDSE.
    4. Luis Eduardo Arango & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2001. "El Desempleo en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 176, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Histéresis; Tasa de desempleo; Política monetaria; Mercado laboral; Métodos econométricos.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J51 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining - - - Trade Unions: Objectives, Structure, and Effects
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • J40 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - General
    • B23 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Econometrics; Quantitative and Mathematical Studies

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