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No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns

Author

Listed:
  • Chris Huntingford

    (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UK)

  • Philip D. Jones

    (Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
    Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia)

  • Valerie N. Livina

    (School of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
    National Physical Laboratory, Hampton Road, Teddington TW11 0LW, UK)

  • Timothy M. Lenton

    (College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4PS, UK)

  • Peter M. Cox

    (College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QF, UK)

Abstract

Although fluctuations in annual temperature have shown substantial geographical variation over the past few decades, which may be more difficult for society to adapt to than altered mean conditions, the time-evolving standard deviation of globally averaged temperature anomalies reveals that there has been little change.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Huntingford & Philip D. Jones & Valerie N. Livina & Timothy M. Lenton & Peter M. Cox, 2013. "No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns," Nature, Nature, vol. 500(7462), pages 327-330, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:500:y:2013:i:7462:d:10.1038_nature12310
    DOI: 10.1038/nature12310
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    Cited by:

    1. Rudik, Ivan & Lyn, Gary & Tan, Weiliang & Ortiz-Bobea, Ariel, 2021. "Heterogeneity and Market Adaptation to Climate Change in Dynamic-Spatial Equilibrium," SocArXiv usghb, Center for Open Science.
    2. Breckner, Miriam & Sunde, Uwe, 2019. "Temperature extremes, global warming, and armed conflict: new insights from high resolution data," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Dirk Olonscheck & Andrew P. Schurer & Lucie Lücke & Gabriele C. Hegerl, 2021. "Large-scale emergence of regional changes in year-to-year temperature variability by the end of the 21st century," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Torbjørn Lorentzen, 2020. "Climate change and winter road maintenance," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 225-242, July.
    5. Zhao, Xin & Calvin, Katherine & Patel, Pralit & Abigail, Snyder & Wise, Marshall & Waldhoff, Stephanie & Hejazi, Mohamad & Edmonds, James, 2021. "Impacts of interannual climate and biophysical variability on global agriculture markets," Conference papers 333245, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. Virginia Anne Kowal & Julian Ahlborn & Chantsallkham Jamsranjav & Otgonsuren Avirmed & Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, 2021. "Modeling Integrated Impacts of Climate Change and Grazing on Mongolia’s Rangelands," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-28, April.
    7. Claudia Simolo & Susanna Corti, 2022. "Quantifying the role of variability in future intensification of heat extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    8. Malanson, George P. & DeRose, R. Justin & Bekker, Matthew F., 2019. "Individual variation and ecotypic niches in simulations of the impact of climatic volatility," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 411(C).
    9. Kuo-Wei Lan & Ming-An Lee & Chang Zhang & Pei-Yuan Wang & Long-Jing Wu & Kuo-Tien Lee, 2014. "Effects of climate variability and climate change on the fishing conditions for grey mullet (Mugil cephalus L.) in the Taiwan Strait," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(1), pages 189-202, September.
    10. Flavio Lehner & Clara Deser & Benjamin M. Sanderson, 2018. "Future risk of record-breaking summer temperatures and its mitigation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(3), pages 363-375, February.
    11. Isabel Hovdahl, 2020. "Deadly Variation: The Effect of Temperature Variability on Mortality," Working Papers No 01/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.

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