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El Niño in a changing climate

Author

Listed:
  • Sang-Wook Yeh

    (Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, 426-744, Ansan, Korea)

  • Jong-Seong Kug

    (Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute, 426-744, Ansan, Korea)

  • Boris Dewitte

    (Laboratoire d’Etude en Geophysique et Oceanographie Spatiale, 14 avenue Edouard Belin, 31400, Toulouse, France)

  • Min-Ho Kwon

    (School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, 1680 East-West Road, Honolulu, 96822, Hawaii, USA)

  • Ben P. Kirtman

    (University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, Florida, 33149, USA)

  • Fei-Fei Jin

    (School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, 1680 East-West Road, Honolulu, 96822, Hawaii, USA)

Abstract

El Niño changes its tune In recent decades, a distinctly different type of El Niño has emerged. 'Normal' El Niños are climate events associated with anomalous warming in the eastern Pacific, and climatic consequences elsewhere varying from floods to drought. In the alternative version, sometimes called El Niño Modoki (modoki meaning 'similar but different' in Japanese), the warm pool is shifted westward and is flanked to the east and west by cooler water. Sang-Wook Yeh and colleagues use a suite of climate models incorporating anthropogenic changes in greenhouse gases to show that the occurrence ratio of the new type of El Niño is projected to increase by up to a factor of five by the late twenty-first century.

Suggested Citation

  • Sang-Wook Yeh & Jong-Seong Kug & Boris Dewitte & Min-Ho Kwon & Ben P. Kirtman & Fei-Fei Jin, 2009. "El Niño in a changing climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 461(7263), pages 511-514, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:461:y:2009:i:7263:d:10.1038_nature08316
    DOI: 10.1038/nature08316
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Savin Chand & Scott Power & Kevin Walsh & Neil Holbrook & Kathleen McInnes & Kevin Tory & Hamish Ramsay & Ron Hoeke & Anthony S. Kiem, 2023. "Climate processes and drivers in the Pacific and global warming: a review for informing Pacific planning agencies," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(2), pages 1-16, February.
    2. Geon-Il Kim & Ji-Hoon Oh & Na-Yeon Shin & Soon-Il An & Sang-Wook Yeh & Jongsoo Shin & Jong-Seong Kug, 2024. "Deep ocean warming-induced El Niño changes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-8, December.
    3. Luis Fernando Melo‐Velandia & Camilo Andrés Orozco‐Vanegas & Daniel Parra‐Amado, 2022. "Extreme weather events and high Colombian food prices: A non‐stationary extreme value approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(S1), pages 21-40, November.
    4. Hyun-Su Jo & Yoo-Geun Ham & Jong-Seong Kug & Tim Li & Jeong-Hwan Kim & Ji-Gwang Kim & Hyerim Kim, 2022. "Southern Indian Ocean Dipole as a trigger for Central Pacific El Niño since the 2000s," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    5. Anil Deo & Savin S. Chand & R. Duncan McIntosh & Bipen Prakash & Neil J. Holbrook & Andrew Magee & Alick Haruhiru & Philip Malsale, 2022. "Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands: economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-23, June.
    6. Laetitia E. Pichevin & Massimo Bollasina & Alexandra J. Nederbragt & Raja S. Ganeshram, 2024. "North Atlantic temperature control on deoxygenation in the northern tropical Pacific," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Zhang, Li & Li, Yan & Yu, Sixin & Wang, Lu, 2023. "Risk transmission of El Niño-induced climate change to regional Green Economy Index," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 860-872.
    8. Raphael J. Nawrotzki & Marina Tebeck & Sven Harten & Venya Blankenagel, 2023. "Climate change vulnerability hotspots in Costa Rica: constructing a sub-national index," Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, Springer;Association of Environmental Studies and Sciences, vol. 13(3), pages 473-499, September.
    9. Soledad Collazo & Mariana Barrucand & Matilde Rusticucci, 2023. "Hot and dry compound events in South America: present climate and future projections, and their association with the Pacific Ocean," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 299-323, October.

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