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Life expectancy changes since COVID-19

Author

Listed:
  • Jonas Schöley

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research)

  • José Manuel Aburto

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford
    University of Southern Denmark
    Department of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine)

  • Ilya Kashnitsky

    (University of Southern Denmark)

  • Maxi S. Kniffka

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research)

  • Luyin Zhang

    (University of Oxford)

  • Hannaliis Jaadla

    (Tallinn University
    University of Cambridge)

  • Jennifer B. Dowd

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Ridhi Kashyap

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic triggered an unprecedented rise in mortality that translated into life expectancy losses around the world, with only a few exceptions. We estimate life expectancy changes in 29 countries since 2020 (including most of Europe, the United States and Chile), attribute them to mortality changes by age group and compare them with historic life expectancy shocks. Our results show divergence in mortality impacts of the pandemic in 2021. While countries in western Europe experienced bounce backs from life expectancy losses of 2020, eastern Europe and the United States witnessed sustained and substantial life expectancy deficits. Life expectancy deficits during fall/winter 2021 among people ages 60+ and

Suggested Citation

  • Jonas Schöley & José Manuel Aburto & Ilya Kashnitsky & Maxi S. Kniffka & Luyin Zhang & Hannaliis Jaadla & Jennifer B. Dowd & Ridhi Kashyap, 2022. "Life expectancy changes since COVID-19," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 6(12), pages 1649-1659, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nathum:v:6:y:2022:i:12:d:10.1038_s41562-022-01450-3
    DOI: 10.1038/s41562-022-01450-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Veena S. Raleigh, 2019. "Trends in life expectancy in EU and other OECD countries: Why are improvements slowing?," OECD Health Working Papers 108, OECD Publishing.
    2. James C. Riley, 2005. "Estimates of Regional and Global Life Expectancy, 1800–2001," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 31(3), pages 537-543, September.
    3. Stefano Mazzuco & Stefano Campostrini, 2022. "Life expectancy drop in 2020. Estimates based on Human Mortality Database," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(1), pages 1-6, January.
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    1. Antonia Mihai & Simion Luciana, 2023. "The Evolution of Economic Disparities in Romania during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Comparative Analysis of Pre-Existing and Emerging Challenges," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 352-363, July.
    2. Anneliese N. Luck & Irma T. Elo & Samuel H. Preston & Eugenio Paglino & Katherine Hempstead & Andrew C. Stokes, 2023. "COVID-19 and All-Cause Mortality by Race, Ethnicity, and Age Across Five Periods of the Pandemic in the United States," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(4), pages 1-29, August.
    3. Kozlov Vladimir & Pahomii Irina & Gagauz Olga & Šmit Jelena, 2024. "Covid-19 Mortality Shock: Demographic and Economic Losses in Moldova," Comparative Southeast European Studies, De Gruyter, vol. 72(1), pages 135-148, March.
    4. Kashnitsky, Ilya & Trias-Llimós, Sergi & Villavicencio, Francisco, 2023. "Urban and rural disparities in life expectancy drops during the COVID-19 pandemic were not uniform across European countries," OSF Preprints 7rwck, Center for Open Science.
    5. Mikolai, Júlia & Dorey, Peter & Keenan, Katherine & Kulu, Hill, 2023. "Spatial patterns of COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 mortality across waves of infection in England, Wales, and Scotland," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).

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