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Global biogeography of microbes driving ocean ecological status under climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Zhenyan Zhang

    (Zhejiang University of Technology)

  • Qi Zhang

    (Zhejiang University of Technology
    Shaoxing University)

  • Bingfeng Chen

    (Zhejiang University of Technology)

  • Yitian Yu

    (Zhejiang University of Technology)

  • Tingzhang Wang

    (Key Laboratory of Microbial Technology and Bioinformatics of Zhejiang Province)

  • Nuohan Xu

    (Zhejiang University of Technology
    Shaoxing University)

  • Xiaoji Fan

    (Key Laboratory of Microbial Technology and Bioinformatics of Zhejiang Province)

  • Josep Penuelas

    (Bellaterra
    Cerdanyola del Vallès)

  • Zhengwei Fu

    (Zhejiang University of Technology)

  • Ye Deng

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Yong-Guan Zhu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Haifeng Qian

    (Zhejiang University of Technology)

Abstract

Microbial communities play a crucial role in ocean ecology and global biogeochemical processes. However, understanding the intricate interactions among diversity, taxonomical composition, functional traits, and how these factors respond to climate change remains a significant challenge. Here, we propose seven distinct ecological statuses by systematically considering the diversity, structure, and biogeochemical potential of the ocean microbiome to delineate their biogeography. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to alter the ecological status of the surface ocean by influencing environmental conditions, particularly nutrient and oxygen contents. Our predictive model, which utilizes machine learning, indicates that the ecological status of approximately 32.44% of the surface ocean may undergo changes from the present to the end of this century, assuming no policy interventions. These changes mainly include poleward shifts in the main taxa, increases in photosynthetic carbon fixation and decreases in nutrient metabolism. However, this proportion can decrease significantly with effective control of greenhouse gas emissions. Our study underscores the urgent necessity for implementing policies to mitigate climate change, particularly from an ecological perspective.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenyan Zhang & Qi Zhang & Bingfeng Chen & Yitian Yu & Tingzhang Wang & Nuohan Xu & Xiaoji Fan & Josep Penuelas & Zhengwei Fu & Ye Deng & Yong-Guan Zhu & Haifeng Qian, 2024. "Global biogeography of microbes driving ocean ecological status under climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-49124-0
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49124-0
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