IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v15y2024i1d10.1038_s41467-024-48533-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Urban development pattern’s influence on extreme rainfall occurrences

Author

Listed:
  • Long Yang

    (Nanjing University
    Nanjing University)

  • Yixin Yang

    (Nanjing University
    Nanjing University)

  • Ye Shen

    (Nanjing University
    Nanjing University)

  • Jiachuan Yang

    (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)

  • Guang Zheng

    (Nanjing University)

  • James Smith

    (Princeton University)

  • Dev Niyogi

    (The University of Texas at Austin
    The University of Texas at Austin)

Abstract

Growing urban population and the distinct strategies to accommodate them lead to diverse urban development patterns worldwide. While local evidence suggests the presence of urban signatures in rainfall anomalies, there is limited understanding of how rainfall responds to divergent urban development patterns worldwide. Here we unveil a divergence in the exposure to extreme rainfall for 1790 inland cities globally, attributable to their respective urban development patterns. Cities that experience compact development tend to witness larger increases in extreme rainfall frequency over downtown than their rural surroundings, while the anomalies in extreme rainfall frequency diminish for cities with dispersed development. Convection-permitting simulations further suggest compact urban footprints lead to more pronounced urban-rural thermal contrasts and aerodynamic disturbances. This is directly responsible for the divergent rainfall responses to urban development patterns. Our analyses offer significant insights pertaining to the priorities and potential of city-level efforts to mitigate the emerging climate-related hazards, particularly for countries experiencing rapid urbanization.

Suggested Citation

  • Long Yang & Yixin Yang & Ye Shen & Jiachuan Yang & Guang Zheng & James Smith & Dev Niyogi, 2024. "Urban development pattern’s influence on extreme rainfall occurrences," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-48533-5
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-48533-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-48533-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-024-48533-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fang, Chuanglin & Wang, Shaojian & Li, Guangdong, 2015. "Changing urban forms and carbon dioxide emissions in China: A case study of 30 provincial capital cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 519-531.
    2. M. Georgescu & M. Moustaoui & A. Mahalov & J. Dudhia, 2013. "Summer-time climate impacts of projected megapolitan expansion in Arizona," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(1), pages 37-41, January.
    3. Lei Zhao & Keith Oleson & Elie Bou-Zeid & E. Scott Krayenhoff & Andrew Bray & Qing Zhu & Zhonghua Zheng & Chen Chen & Michael Oppenheimer, 2021. "Global multi-model projections of local urban climates," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(2), pages 152-157, February.
    4. Cynthia Rosenzweig & William Solecki & Stephen A. Hammer & Shagun Mehrotra, 2010. "Cities lead the way in climate–change action," Nature, Nature, vol. 467(7318), pages 909-911, October.
    5. Roger A. Pielke & Andy Pitman & Dev Niyogi & Rezaul Mahmood & Clive McAlpine & Faisal Hossain & Kees Klein Goldewijk & Udaysankar Nair & Richard Betts & Souleymane Fall & Markus Reichstein & Pavel Kab, 2011. "Land use/land cover changes and climate: modeling analysis and observational evidence," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(6), pages 828-850, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Schlör, Holger & Venghaus, Sandra & Hake, Jürgen-Friedrich, 2018. "The FEW-Nexus city index – Measuring urban resilience," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 382-392.
    2. Sun, Lu & Liu, Wenjing & Li, Zhaoling & Cai, Bofeng & Fujii, Minoru & Luo, Xiao & Chen, Wei & Geng, Yong & Fujita, Tsuyoshi & Le, Yiping, 2021. "Spatial and structural characteristics of CO2 emissions in East Asian megacities and its indication for low-carbon city development," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    3. Anthony Goerzen & Christian Geisler Asmussen & Bo Bernhard Nielsen, 2024. "Global cities, the liability of foreignness, and theory on place and space in international business," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 55(1), pages 10-27, February.
    4. Zhonghua Cheng & Xiaowen Hu, 2023. "The effects of urbanization and urban sprawl on CO2 emissions in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 1792-1808, February.
    5. Liu, Xingjian & Wang, Mingshu & Qiang, Wei & Wu, Kang & Wang, Xiaomi, 2020. "Urban form, shrinking cities, and residential carbon emissions: Evidence from Chinese city-regions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    6. Mehryar, Sara & Sasson, Idan & Surminski, Swenja, 2022. "Supporting urban adaptation to climate change: what role can resilience measurement tools play?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113367, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Jeroen van der Heijden, 2021. "When opportunity backfires: exploring the implementation of urban climate governance alternatives in three major US cities [Are LEED-Certified Buildings Energy-Efficient in Practice?]," Policy and Society, Darryl S. Jarvis and M. Ramesh, vol. 40(1), pages 116-135.
    8. Paul Drummond, 2021. "Assessing City Governance for Low-Carbon Mobility in London," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-24, February.
    9. Wan Ting Katty Huang & Pierre Masselot & Elie Bou-Zeid & Simone Fatichi & Athanasios Paschalis & Ting Sun & Antonio Gasparrini & Gabriele Manoli, 2023. "Economic valuation of temperature-related mortality attributed to urban heat islands in European cities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    10. Laura Lakanen & Heli Kumpulainen & Olli Helppi & Kaisa Grönman & Risto Soukka, 2022. "Carbon Handprint Approach for Cities and Regions: A Framework to Reveal and Assess the Potential of Cities in Climate Change Mitigation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-14, May.
    11. Gang Xu & Tianyi Zeng & Hong Jin & Cong Xu & Ziqi Zhang, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Variations and Influencing Factors of Country-Level Carbon Emissions for Northeast China Based on VIIRS Nighttime Lighting Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-17, January.
    12. Li, Jia Shuo & Zhou, H.W. & Meng, Jing & Yang, Q. & Chen, B. & Zhang, Y.Y., 2018. "Carbon emissions and their drivers for a typical urban economy from multiple perspectives: A case analysis for Beijing city," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 1076-1086.
    13. Shao Sun & Zunya Wang & Chuanye Hu & Ge Gao, 2021. "Understanding Climate Hazard Patterns and Urban Adaptation Measures in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-12, December.
    14. Sun, Xudong & Li, Jiashuo & Qiao, Han & Zhang, Bo, 2017. "Energy implications of China's regional development: New insights from multi-regional input-output analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 118-131.
    15. Yongxing Li & Wei Guo & Peixian Li & Xuesheng Zhao & Jinke Liu, 2023. "Exploring the Spatiotemporal Dynamics of CO 2 Emissions through a Combination of Nighttime Light and MODIS NDVI Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-17, August.
    16. Chuanlong Li & Yuanqing Li & Kaifang Shi & Qingyuan Yang, 2020. "A Multiscale Evaluation of the Coupling Relationship between Urban Land and Carbon Emissions: A Case Study of Chongqing, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-13, May.
    17. Wenwei Hou & Fan Liu & Yanqin Zhang & Jiaying Dong & Shumeng Lin & Minhua Wang, 2024. "Research Progress and Hotspot Analysis of Low-Carbon Landscapes Based on CiteSpace Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-24, September.
    18. Xiaolei Huang & Jinpei Ou & Yingjian Huang & Shun Gao, 2023. "Exploring the Effects of Socioeconomic Factors and Urban Forms on CO 2 Emissions in Shrinking and Growing Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-20, December.
    19. Silva, Mafalda C. & Horta, Isabel M. & Leal, Vítor & Oliveira, Vítor, 2017. "A spatially-explicit methodological framework based on neural networks to assess the effect of urban form on energy demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 386-398.
    20. Ji Han & Xing Meng & Yanqi Zhang & Jiabin Liu, 2017. "The Impact of Infrastructure Stock Density on CO 2 Emissions: Evidence from China Provinces," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-13, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-48533-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.