IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-42737-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

30×30 biodiversity gains rely on national coordination

Author

Listed:
  • Isaac Eckert

    (McGill University
    Quebec Center for Biodiversity Science)

  • Andrea Brown

    (McGill University
    Quebec Center for Biodiversity Science)

  • Dominique Caron

    (McGill University
    Quebec Center for Biodiversity Science)

  • Federico Riva

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Laura J. Pollock

    (McGill University
    Quebec Center for Biodiversity Science)

Abstract

Global commitments to protect 30% of land by 2030 present an opportunity to combat the biodiversity crisis, but reducing extinction risk will depend on where countries expand protection. Here, we explore a range of 30×30 conservation scenarios that vary what dimension of biodiversity is prioritized (taxonomic groups, species-at-risk, biodiversity facets) and how protection is coordinated (transnational, national, or regional approaches) to test which decisions influence our ability to capture biodiversity in spatial planning. Using Canada as a model nation, we evaluate how well each scenario captures biodiversity using scalable indicators while accounting for climate change, data bias, and uncertainty. We find that only 15% of all terrestrial vertebrates, plants, and butterflies (representing only 6.6% of species-at-risk) are adequately represented in existing protected land. However, a nationally coordinated approach to 30×30 could protect 65% of all species representing 40% of all species-at-risk. How protection is coordinated has the largest impact, with regional approaches protecting up to 38% fewer species and 65% fewer species-at-risk, while the choice of biodiversity incurs much smaller trade-offs. These results demonstrate the potential of 30×30 while highlighting the critical importance of biodiversity-informed national strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Isaac Eckert & Andrea Brown & Dominique Caron & Federico Riva & Laura J. Pollock, 2023. "30×30 biodiversity gains rely on national coordination," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-42737-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42737-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-42737-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-42737-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Federico Montesino Pouzols & Tuuli Toivonen & Enrico Di Minin & Aija S. Kukkala & Peter Kullberg & Johanna Kuusterä & Joona Lehtomäki & Henrikki Tenkanen & Peter H. Verburg & Atte Moilanen, 2014. "Global protected area expansion is compromised by projected land-use and parochialism," Nature, Nature, vol. 516(7531), pages 383-386, December.
    2. Wilfried Thuiller & Maya Guéguen & Julien Renaud & Dirk N. Karger & Niklaus E. Zimmermann, 2019. "Uncertainty in ensembles of global biodiversity scenarios," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. W. Jetz & G. H. Thomas & J. B. Joy & K. Hartmann & A. O. Mooers, 2012. "The global diversity of birds in space and time," Nature, Nature, vol. 491(7424), pages 444-448, November.
    4. Laura J. Pollock & Wilfried Thuiller & Walter Jetz, 2017. "Large conservation gains possible for global biodiversity facets," Nature, Nature, vol. 546(7656), pages 141-144, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. David Mouillot & Laure Velez & Camille Albouy & Nicolas Casajus & Joachim Claudet & Vincent Delbar & Rodolphe Devillers & Tom B. Letessier & Nicolas Loiseau & Stéphanie Manel & Laura Mannocci & Jessic, 2024. "The socioeconomic and environmental niche of protected areas reveals global conservation gaps and opportunities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Wen-Yong Guo & Josep M. Serra-Diaz & Wolf L. Eiserhardt & Brian S. Maitner & Cory Merow & Cyrille Violle & Matthew J. Pound & Miao Sun & Ferry Slik & Anne Blach-Overgaard & Brian J. Enquist & Jens-Chr, 2023. "Climate change and land use threaten global hotspots of phylogenetic endemism for trees," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Chunrong Mi & Liang Ma & Mengyuan Yang & Xinhai Li & Shai Meiri & Uri Roll & Oleksandra Oskyrko & Daniel Pincheira-Donoso & Lilly P. Harvey & Daniel Jablonski & Barbod Safaei-Mahroo & Hanyeh Ghaffari , 2023. "Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Wei Yang & Yuanxu Ma & Linhai Jing & Siyuan Wang & Zhongchang Sun & Yunwei Tang & Hui Li, 2022. "Differential Impacts of Climatic and Land Use Changes on Habitat Suitability and Protected Area Adequacy across the Asian Elephant’s Range," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-22, April.
    5. Joshua J Medina & James M Maley & Siddharth Sannapareddy & Noah N Medina & Cyril M Gilman & John E McCormack, 2020. "A rapid and cost-effective pipeline for digitization of museum specimens with 3D photogrammetry," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-14, August.
    6. Andrew Brinkworth & Emily Green & Yimeng Li & Jack Oyston & Marcello Ruta & Matthew A. Wills, 2023. "Bird clades with less complex appendicular skeletons tend to have higher species richness," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Banerjee, Onil & Crossman, Neville & Vargas, Renato & Brander, Luke & Verburg, Peter & Cicowiez, Martin & Hauck, Jennifer & McKenzie, Emily, 2020. "Global socio-economic impacts of changes in natural capital and ecosystem services: State of play and new modeling approaches," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    8. Sarah R. Weiskopf & Forest Isbell & Maria Isabel Arce-Plata & Moreno Di Marco & Mike Harfoot & Justin Johnson & Susannah B. Lerman & Brian W. Miller & Toni Lyn Morelli & Akira S. Mori & Ensheng Weng &, 2024. "Biodiversity loss reduces global terrestrial carbon storage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    9. Stephen A. Schlebusch & Jakub Rídl & Manon Poignet & Francisco J. Ruiz-Ruano & Jiří Reif & Petr Pajer & Jan Pačes & Tomáš Albrecht & Alexander Suh & Radka Reifová, 2023. "Rapid gene content turnover on the germline-restricted chromosome in songbirds," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    10. Justin W. Baldwin & Joan Garcia-Porta & Carlos A. Botero, 2023. "Complementarity in Allen’s and Bergmann’s rules among birds," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    11. Rikki Gumbs & Oenone Scott & Ryan Bates & Monika Böhm & Félix Forest & Claudia L. Gray & Michael Hoffmann & Daniel Kane & Christopher Low & William D. Pearse & Sebastian Pipins & Benjamin Tapley & Sam, 2024. "Global conservation status of the jawed vertebrate Tree of Life," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    12. Virtanen, E.A. & Lappalainen, J. & Nurmi, M. & Viitasalo, M. & Tikanmäki, M. & Heinonen, J. & Atlaskin, E. & Kallasvuo, M. & Tikkanen, H. & Moilanen, A., 2022. "Balancing profitability of energy production, societal impacts and biodiversity in offshore wind farm design," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    13. Alexandra McQueen & Marcel Klaassen & Glenn J. Tattersall & Robyn Atkinson & Roz Jessop & Chris J. Hassell & Maureen Christie & Matthew R. E. Symonds, 2022. "Thermal adaptation best explains Bergmann’s and Allen’s Rules across ecologically diverse shorebirds," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    14. Xiaodan Wang & Marius Somveille & Adriaan M. Dokter & Wenhua Cao & Chuyu Cheng & Jiajia Liu & Zhijun Ma, 2024. "Macro-scale relationship between body mass and timing of bird migration," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Elspeth Kenny & Tim R. Birkhead & Jonathan P. Green, 2017. "Allopreening in birds is associated with parental cooperation over offspring care and stable pair bonds across years," Behavioral Ecology, International Society for Behavioral Ecology, vol. 28(4), pages 1142-1148.
    16. M. K. S. Pasha & Nigel Dudley & Sue Stolton & Michael Baltzer & Barney Long & Sugoto Roy & Michael Belecky & Rajesh Gopal & S. P. Yadav, 2018. "Setting and Implementing Standards for Management of Wild Tigers," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-12, July.
    17. Lijing Tang & Yuanyuan Yang & Dongyan Wang & Qing Wei, 2022. "Optimizing County-Level Land-Use Structure Method: Case Study of W County, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-26, April.
    18. Peter Mikula & Oldřich Tomášek & Dušan Romportl & Timothy K. Aikins & Jorge E. Avendaño & Bukola D. A. Braimoh-Azaki & Adams Chaskda & Will Cresswell & Susan J. Cunningham & Svein Dale & Gabriela R. F, 2023. "Bird tolerance to humans in open tropical ecosystems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    19. Shan Su & Phillip Cassey & Miquel Vall-llosera & Tim M Blackburn, 2015. "Going Cheap: Determinants of Bird Price in the Taiwanese Pet Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(5), pages 1-17, May.
    20. John M. Humphreys, 2022. "Amplification in Time and Dilution in Space: Partitioning Spatiotemporal Processes to Assess the Role of Avian-Host Phylodiversity in Shaping Eastern Equine Encephalitis Virus Distribution," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-16, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-42737-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.