IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-41915-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Projected changes in atmospheric moisture transport contributions associated with climate warming in the North Atlantic

Author

Listed:
  • José C. Fernández-Alvarez

    (Environmental Physics Laboratory (EPhysLab), Campus As Lagoas s/n
    Universidad de La Habana)

  • Albenis Pérez-Alarcón

    (Environmental Physics Laboratory (EPhysLab), Campus As Lagoas s/n
    Universidad de La Habana)

  • Jorge Eiras-Barca

    (Environmental Physics Laboratory (EPhysLab), Campus As Lagoas s/n
    Group of Applied Mathematics for Defense)

  • Stefan Rahimi

    (University of Wyoming
    University of California Los Angeles)

  • Raquel Nieto

    (Environmental Physics Laboratory (EPhysLab), Campus As Lagoas s/n)

  • Luis Gimeno

    (Environmental Physics Laboratory (EPhysLab), Campus As Lagoas s/n)

Abstract

Global warming and associated changes in atmospheric circulation patterns are expected to alter the hydrological cycle, including the intensity and position of moisture sources. This study presents predicted changes for the middle and end of the 21st century under the SSP5-8.5 scenario for two important extratropical moisture sources: the North Atlantic Ocean (NATL) and Mediterranean Sea (MED). Changes over the Iberian Peninsula—considered as a strategic moisture sink for its location—are also studied in detail. By the end of the century, moisture from the NATL will increase precipitation over eastern North America in winter and autumn and on the British Isles in winter. Moisture from the MED will increase precipitation over the southern and western portions of the Mediterranean continental area. Precipitation associated with the MED moisture source will decrease mainly over eastern Europe, while that associated with the NATL will decrease over western Europe and Africa. Precipitation recycling on the Iberian Peninsula will increase in all seasons except summer for mid-century. Climate change, as simulated by CESM2 thus modifies atmospheric moisture transport, affecting regional hydrological cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • José C. Fernández-Alvarez & Albenis Pérez-Alarcón & Jorge Eiras-Barca & Stefan Rahimi & Raquel Nieto & Luis Gimeno, 2023. "Projected changes in atmospheric moisture transport contributions associated with climate warming in the North Atlantic," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-41915-1
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-41915-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-41915-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-41915-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wolfgang Cramer & Joël Guiot & Marianela Fader & Joaquim Garrabou & Jean-Pierre Gattuso & Ana Iglesias & Manfred A. Lange & Piero Lionello & Maria Carmen Llasat & Shlomit Paz & Josep Peñuelas & Maria , 2018. "Climate change and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(11), pages 972-980, November.
    2. Iago Algarra & Raquel Nieto & Alexandre M. Ramos & Jorge Eiras-Barca & Ricardo M. Trigo & Luis Gimeno, 2020. "Significant increase of global anomalous moisture uptake feeding landfalling Atmospheric Rivers," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-7, December.
    3. Baird Langenbrunner, 2019. "Shifting moisture source," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(10), pages 728-728, October.
    4. Daniel L. Swain & Baird Langenbrunner & J. David Neelin & Alex Hall, 2018. "Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(5), pages 427-433, May.
    5. Frank J. Wentz & Matthias Schabel, 2000. "Precise climate monitoring using complementary satellite data sets," Nature, Nature, vol. 403(6768), pages 414-416, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. D. Santillán & L. Garrote & A. Iglesias & V. Sotes, 2020. "Climate change risks and adaptation: new indicators for Mediterranean viticulture," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 881-899, May.
    2. David Hidalgo García, 2023. "Evaluation and Analysis of the Effectiveness of the Main Mitigation Measures against Surface Urban Heat Islands in Different Local Climate Zones through Remote Sensing," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-23, July.
    3. Morán-Ordóñez, Alejandra & Ameztegui, Aitor & De Cáceres, Miquel & de-Miguel, Sergio & Lefèvre, François & Brotons, Lluís & Coll, Lluís, 2020. "Future trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services in Mediterranean forests under global change scenarios," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    4. Heider, Katharina & Quaranta, Emanuele & García Avilés, José María & Rodriguez Lopez, Juan Miguel & Balbo, Andrea L. & Scheffran, Jürgen, 2022. "Reinventing the wheel – The preservation and potential of traditional water wheels in the terraced irrigated landscapes of the Ricote Valley, southeast Spain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    5. Francisco Costa & Fabien Forge & Jason Garred & João Paulo Pessoa, 2020. "Climate Change and the Distribution of Agricultural Output," Working Papers 2003E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
    6. Aina Maimó-Far & Alexis Tantet & Víctor Homar & Philippe Drobinski, 2020. "Predictable and Unpredictable Climate Variability Impacts on Optimal Renewable Energy Mixes: The Example of Spain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-25, October.
    7. Kamiar Mohaddes & Ryan N C Ng & M Hashem Pesaran & Mehdi Raissi & Jui-Chung Yang, 2023. "Climate change and economic activity: evidence from US states," Oxford Open Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2, pages 28-46.
    8. Vinícius B. P. Chagas & Pedro L. B. Chaffe & Günter Blöschl, 2022. "Climate and land management accelerate the Brazilian water cycle," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    9. Cai, Qingyin & Çakır, Metin & Beatty, Timothy & Park, Timothy A., 2022. "Drought and the Specialty Crops Production in California," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322530, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Yanting Zheng & Jing He & Wenxiang Zhang & Aifeng Lv, 2023. "Assessing Water Security and Coupling Coordination in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin for Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-20, December.
    11. Susana Toboso‐Chavero & Gara Villalba & Xavier Gabarrell Durany & Cristina Madrid‐López, 2021. "More than the sum of the parts: System analysis of the usability of roofs in housing estates," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(5), pages 1284-1299, October.
    12. Manoranjan Ghosh & Somnath Ghosal, 2021. "Climate change vulnerability of rural households in flood-prone areas of Himalayan foothills, West Bengal, India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 2570-2595, February.
    13. Sugenith Arteaga & Lourdes Yabor & José Torres & Eva Solbes & Enrique Muñoz & María José Díez & Oscar Vicente & Monica Boscaiu, 2019. "Morphological and Agronomic Characterization of Spanish Landraces of Phaseolus vulgaris L," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-16, July.
    14. Sarah E Diringer & Morgan Shimabuku & Heather Cooley, 2020. "Economic evaluation of stormwater capture and its multiple benefits in California," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-18, March.
    15. Cécile Hérivaux & Philippe Le Coent, 2021. "Introducing Nature into Cities or Preserving Existing Peri-Urban Ecosystems? Analysis of Preferences in a Rapidly Urbanizing Catchment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-34, January.
    16. Zagaria, Cecilia & Schulp, Catharina J.E. & Malek, Žiga & Verburg, Peter H., 2023. "Potential for land and water management adaptations in Mediterranean croplands under climate change," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    17. Rita Biasi & Francesco Valerio Collotti & Stefano Baia Curioni, 2024. "Returning to Integrated Landscape Management as an Approach to Counteract Land Degradation in Small Mediterranean Islands: The Case Study of Stromboli (Southern Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy)," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-20, November.
    18. François Salanié & Vera Zaporozhets, 2022. "Water allocation, crop choice, and priority services," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(1), pages 140-158, February.
    19. Sergio Gil-Lebrero & Francisco Javier Navas González & Victoria Gámiz López & Francisco Javier Quiles Latorre & José Manuel Flores Serrano, 2020. "Regulation of Microclimatic Conditions inside Native Beehives and Its Relationship with Climate in Southern Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-25, August.
    20. Mannu Brahmi & Riya Jain & Gautami Suresh & Jyoti Kumar, 2024. "Exploring Yoga’s Impact on Student Wellbeing: A Thematic Analysis with Implications for Holistic Education," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(3s), pages 1630-1645, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-41915-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.