IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-41258-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reducing risks of antibiotics to crop production requires land system intensification within thresholds

Author

Listed:
  • Fangkai Zhao

    (Yunnan University)

  • Lei Yang

    (Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Haw Yen

    (Auburn University
    Bayer U.S. Crop Science Division)

  • Qingyu Feng

    (Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Min Li

    (Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Liding Chen

    (Yunnan University
    Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Land system intensification has substantially enhanced crop production; however, it has also created soil antibiotic pollution, undermining crop production. Here, we projected soil antibiotic pollution risks to crop production at multiple geographical scales in China and linked them to land system intensification (including arable land expansion and input increase). Our projections suggest that crop production will substantially decrease when the soil antibiotic pollution risk quotient exceeds 8.30–9.98. Land systems explain most of the variability in antibiotic pollution risks (21–66%) across spatial scales. The convex nonlinearities in tradeoffs between antibiotic pollution risk and crop production indicate that vegetable and wheat production have higher thresholds of land system intensification at which the risk–yield tradeoffs will peak than do maize and rice production. Our study suggests that land system intensification below the minimum thresholds at multiple scales is required for acceptable antibiotic pollution risks related to crop yield reduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Fangkai Zhao & Lei Yang & Haw Yen & Qingyu Feng & Min Li & Liding Chen, 2023. "Reducing risks of antibiotics to crop production requires land system intensification within thresholds," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-41258-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-41258-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-41258-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-41258-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David Haaf & Johan Six & Sebastian Doetterl, 2021. "Global patterns of geo-ecological controls on the response of soil respiration to warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(7), pages 623-627, July.
    2. Xuejun Yang & Carol C. Baskin & Jerry M. Baskin & Robin J. Pakeman & Zhenying Huang & Ruiru Gao & Johannes H. C. Cornelissen, 2021. "Global patterns of potential future plant diversity hidden in soil seed banks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-8, December.
    3. Xutong Wu & Bojie Fu & Shuai Wang & Shuang Song & Yingjie Li & Zhenci Xu & Yongping Wei & Jianguo Liu, 2022. "Decoupling of SDGs followed by re-coupling as sustainable development progresses," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(5), pages 452-459, May.
    4. L. F. Schulte-Uebbing & A. H. W. Beusen & A. F. Bouwman & W. de Vries, 2022. "From planetary to regional boundaries for agricultural nitrogen pollution," Nature, Nature, vol. 610(7932), pages 507-512, October.
    5. Spyros Theodoridis & Damien A. Fordham & Stuart C. Brown & Sen Li & Carsten Rahbek & David Nogues-Bravo, 2020. "Evolutionary history and past climate change shape the distribution of genetic diversity in terrestrial mammals," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Marcell K. Peters & Andreas Hemp & Tim Appelhans & Joscha N. Becker & Christina Behler & Alice Classen & Florian Detsch & Andreas Ensslin & Stefan W. Ferger & Sara B. Frederiksen & Friederike Gebert &, 2019. "Climate–land-use interactions shape tropical mountain biodiversity and ecosystem functions," Nature, Nature, vol. 568(7750), pages 88-92, April.
    7. Kuhn, Max, 2008. "Building Predictive Models in R Using the caret Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 28(i05).
    8. Feng Mao & Joshua D. Miller & Sera L. Young & Stefan Krause & David M. Hannah, 2022. "Inequality of household water security follows a Development Kuznets Curve," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    9. Laura Vang Rasmussen & Brendan Coolsaet & Adrian Martin & Ole Mertz & Unai Pascual & Esteve Corbera & Neil Dawson & Janet A. Fisher & Phil Franks & Casey M. Ryan, 2018. "Social-ecological outcomes of agricultural intensification," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(6), pages 275-282, June.
    10. Laura Vang Rasmussen & Brendan Coolsaet & Adrian Martin & Ole Mertz & Unai Pascual & Esteve Corbera & Neil Dawson & Janet A. Fisher & Phil Franks & Casey M. Ryan, 2018. "Publisher Correction: Social-ecological outcomes of agricultural intensification," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(7), pages 376-376, July.
    11. Kenneth G. Cassman & Patricio Grassini, 2020. "A global perspective on sustainable intensification research," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 262-268, April.
    12. Jing Gao & Brian C. O’Neill, 2020. "Mapping global urban land for the 21st century with data-driven simulations and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    13. Johan Hoogen & Stefan Geisen & Devin Routh & Howard Ferris & Walter Traunspurger & David A. Wardle & Ron G. M. Goede & Byron J. Adams & Wasim Ahmad & Walter S. Andriuzzi & Richard D. Bardgett & Michae, 2019. "Soil nematode abundance and functional group composition at a global scale," Nature, Nature, vol. 572(7768), pages 194-198, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:ags:aaea22:335902 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Hammond, James & van Wijk, Mark & Teufel, Nils & Mekonnen, Kindu & Thorne, Peter, 2021. "Assessing smallholder sustainable intensification in the Ethiopian highlands," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    3. Daifeng Xiang & Gangsheng Wang & Jing Tian & Wanyu Li, 2023. "Global patterns and edaphic-climatic controls of soil carbon decomposition kinetics predicted from incubation experiments," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Rohe, Sebastian & Oltmer, Marie & Wolter, Hendrik & Gmeiner, Nina & Tschersich , Julia, 2022. "Forever Niche: Why do organic vegetable varieties not diffuse?," Papers in Innovation Studies 2022/8, Lund University, CIRCLE - Centre for Innovation Research.
    5. Hongbo Guo & Enzai Du & César Terrer & Robert B. Jackson, 2024. "Global distribution of surface soil organic carbon in urban greenspaces," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Steven J. Fonte & Marian Hsieh & Nathaniel D. Mueller, 2023. "Earthworms contribute significantly to global food production," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-5, December.
    7. Erbaugh, James & Bierbaum, Rosina & Castilleja, Guillermo & da Fonseca, Gustavo A.B. & Hansen, Steffen Cole Brandstrup, 2019. "Toward sustainable agriculture in the tropics," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 158-162.
    8. Kansanga, Moses Mosonsieyiri & Kangmennaang, Joseph & Bezner Kerr, Rachel & Lupafya, Esther & Dakishoni, Laifolo & Luginaah, Isaac, 2021. "Agroecology and household production diversity and dietary diversity: Evidence from a five-year agroecological intervention in rural Malawi," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    9. Junquera, Victoria & Rubenstein, Daniel I. & Grêt-Regamey, Adrienne & Knaus, Florian, 2022. "Structural change in agriculture and farmers' social contacts: Insights from a Swiss mountain region," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    10. Lairez, Juliette & Jourdain, Damien & Lopez-Ridaura, Santiago & Syfongxay, Chanthaly & Affholder, François, 2023. "Multicriteria assessment of alternative cropping systems at farm level. A case with maize on family farms of South East Asia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    11. Wong, Grace Y. & Holm, Minda & Pietarinen, Niina & Ville, Alizee & Brockhaus, Maria, 2022. "The making of resource frontier spaces in the Congo Basin and Southeast Asia: A critical analysis of narratives, actors and drivers in the scientific literature," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    12. Wang, Huan & Zhang, Chao & Yao, Xiaochuang & Yun, Wenju & Ma, Jiani & Gao, Lulu & Li, Pengshan, 2022. "Scenario simulation of the tradeoff between ecological land and farmland in black soil region of Northeast China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    13. Quintas-Soriano, Cristina & Buerkert, Andreas & Plieninger, Tobias, 2022. "Effects of land abandonment on nature contributions to people and good quality of life components in the Mediterranean region: A review," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    14. Tennhardt, Lina & Lazzarini, Gianna & Weisshaidinger, Rainer & Schader, Christian, 2022. "Do environmentally-friendly cocoa farms yield social and economic co-benefits?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    15. Yuxi Guo & Elizabeth H. Boughton & Stephanie Bohlman & Carl Bernacchi & Patrick J. Bohlen & Raoul Boughton & Evan DeLucia & John E. Fauth & Nuria Gomez-Casanovas & David G. Jenkins & Gene Lollis & Rya, 2023. "Grassland intensification effects cascade to alter multifunctionality of wetlands within metaecosystems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, December.
    16. Prabal Das & D. A. Sachindra & Kironmala Chanda, 2022. "Machine Learning-Based Rainfall Forecasting with Multiple Non-Linear Feature Selection Algorithms," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(15), pages 6043-6071, December.
    17. Jie Zhao & Ji Chen & Damien Beillouin & Hans Lambers & Yadong Yang & Pete Smith & Zhaohai Zeng & Jørgen E. Olesen & Huadong Zang, 2022. "Global systematic review with meta-analysis reveals yield advantage of legume-based rotations and its drivers," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    18. Piaopiao Chen & Agnès H. Michel & Jianzhi Zhang, 2022. "Transposon insertional mutagenesis of diverse yeast strains suggests coordinated gene essentiality polymorphisms," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    19. Gatti, Nicolas & Cecil, Michael & Baylis, Kathy & Estes, Lyndon & Blekking, Jordan & Heckelei, Thomas & Vergopolan, Noemi & Evans, Tom, 2023. "Is closing the agricultural yield gap a “risky” endeavor?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    20. Paulo Infante & Gonçalo Jacinto & Anabela Afonso & Leonor Rego & Pedro Nogueira & Marcelo Silva & Vitor Nogueira & José Saias & Paulo Quaresma & Daniel Santos & Patrícia Góis & Paulo Rebelo Manuel, 2023. "Factors That Influence the Type of Road Traffic Accidents: A Case Study in a District of Portugal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-16, January.
    21. Ephrem Habyarimana & Faheem S Baloch, 2021. "Machine learning models based on remote and proximal sensing as potential methods for in-season biomass yields prediction in commercial sorghum fields," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-23, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-41258-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.