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Dynamic and thermodynamic influences on precipitation in Northeast Mexico on orbital to millennial timescales

Author

Listed:
  • Kevin T. Wright

    (University of California, Irvine, 3200 Croul Hall)

  • Kathleen R. Johnson

    (University of California, Irvine, 3200 Croul Hall)

  • Gabriela Serrato Marks

    (Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • David McGee

    (Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

  • Tripti Bhattacharya

    (Syracuse University)

  • Gregory R. Goldsmith

    (Chapman University)

  • Clay R. Tabor

    (University of Connecticut)

  • Jean-Louis Lacaille-Muzquiz

    (Independent researcher)

  • Gianna Lum

    (University of California, Irvine, 3200 Croul Hall)

  • Laura Beramendi-Orosco

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad Universitaria, Ciudad de)

Abstract

The timing and mechanisms of past hydroclimate change in northeast Mexico are poorly constrained, limiting our ability to evaluate climate model performance. To address this, we present a multiproxy speleothem record of past hydroclimate variability spanning 62.5 to 5.1 ka from Tamaulipas, Mexico. Here we show a strong influence of Atlantic and Pacific sea surface temperatures on orbital and millennial scale precipitation changes in the region. Multiple proxies show no clear response to insolation forcing, but strong evidence for dry conditions during Heinrich Stadials. While these trends are consistent with other records from across Mesoamerica and the Caribbean, the relative importance of thermodynamic and dynamic controls in driving this response is debated. An isotope-enabled climate model shows that cool Atlantic SSTs and stronger easterlies drive a strong inter-basin sea surface temperature gradient and a southward shift in moisture convergence, causing drying in this region.

Suggested Citation

  • Kevin T. Wright & Kathleen R. Johnson & Gabriela Serrato Marks & David McGee & Tripti Bhattacharya & Gregory R. Goldsmith & Clay R. Tabor & Jean-Louis Lacaille-Muzquiz & Gianna Lum & Laura Beramendi-O, 2023. "Dynamic and thermodynamic influences on precipitation in Northeast Mexico on orbital to millennial timescales," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-37700-9
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37700-9
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