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No trends in spring and autumn phenology during the global warming hiatus

Author

Listed:
  • Xufeng Wang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of New Hampshire)

  • Jingfeng Xiao

    (University of New Hampshire)

  • Xin Li

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Guodong Cheng

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Shanghai Normal University)

  • Mingguo Ma

    (Southwest University)

  • Gaofeng Zhu

    (Lanzhou University)

  • M. Altaf Arain

    (McMaster University)

  • T. Andrew Black

    (University of British Columbia)

  • Rachhpal S. Jassal

    (University of British Columbia)

Abstract

Phenology plays a fundamental role in regulating photosynthesis, evapotranspiration, and surface energy fluxes and is sensitive to climate change. The global mean surface air temperature data indicate a global warming hiatus between 1998 and 2012, while its impacts on global phenology remains unclear. Here we use long-term satellite and FLUXNET records to examine phenology trends in the northern hemisphere before and during the warming hiatus. Our results based on the satellite record show that the phenology change rate slowed down during the warming hiatus. The analysis of the long-term FLUXNET measurements, mainly within the warming hiatus, shows that there were no widespread advancing (or delaying) trends in spring (or autumn) phenology. The lack of widespread phenology trends partly led to the lack of widespread trends in spring and autumn carbon fluxes. Our findings have significant implications for understanding the responses of phenology to climate change and the climate-carbon feedbacks.

Suggested Citation

  • Xufeng Wang & Jingfeng Xiao & Xin Li & Guodong Cheng & Mingguo Ma & Gaofeng Zhu & M. Altaf Arain & T. Andrew Black & Rachhpal S. Jassal, 2019. "No trends in spring and autumn phenology during the global warming hiatus," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:10:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-019-10235-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-10235-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhaozhe Li & Ranghui Wang & Bo Liu & Zhonghua Qian & Yongping Wu & Cheng Li, 2022. "Responses of Vegetation Autumn Phenology to Climatic Factors in Northern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-13, July.
    2. Miao Fang & Xin Li & Hans W. Chen & Deliang Chen, 2022. "Arctic amplification modulated by Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and greenhouse forcing on multidecadal to century scales," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    3. Ning Chen & Yifei Zhang & Fenghui Yuan & Changchun Song & Mingjie Xu & Qingwei Wang & Guangyou Hao & Tao Bao & Yunjiang Zuo & Jianzhao Liu & Tao Zhang & Yanyu Song & Li Sun & Yuedong Guo & Hao Zhang &, 2023. "Warming-induced vapor pressure deficit suppression of vegetation growth diminished in northern peatlands," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Yuke Zhou & Junfu Fan & Xiaoying Wang, 2020. "Assessment of varying changes of vegetation and the response to climatic factors using GIMMS NDVI3g on the Tibetan Plateau," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-25, June.
    5. Hongshuang Gu & Yuxin Qiao & Zhenxiang Xi & Sergio Rossi & Nicholas G. Smith & Jianquan Liu & Lei Chen, 2022. "Warming-induced increase in carbon uptake is linked to earlier spring phenology in temperate and boreal forests," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    6. Shengbiao Wu & Bin Chen & Chris Webster & Bing Xu & Peng Gong, 2023. "Improved human greenspace exposure equality during 21st century urbanization," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Georgeta Bandoc & Adrian Piticar & Cristian Patriche & Bogdan Roșca & Elena Dragomir, 2022. "Climate Warming-Induced Changes in Plant Phenology in the Most Important Agricultural Region of Romania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-23, February.
    8. Xiaoying Ouyang & Dongmei Chen & Shugui Zhou & Rui Zhang & Jinxin Yang & Guangcheng Hu & Youjun Dou & Qinhuo Liu, 2021. "A Slight Temperature Warming Trend Occurred over Lake Ontario from 2001 to 2018," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.

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