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Committed warming inferred from observations

Author

Listed:
  • Thorsten Mauritsen

    (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology)

  • Robert Pincus

    (University of Colorado
    NOAA Earth System Research Lab)

Abstract

Even if fossil-fuel emissions were to cease immediately, continued anthropogenic warming is expected. Here, observation-based estimates indicate there is a 13% risk that committed warming already exceeds the 1.5 K Paris target.

Suggested Citation

  • Thorsten Mauritsen & Robert Pincus, 2017. "Committed warming inferred from observations," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(9), pages 652-655, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:9:d:10.1038_nclimate3357
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3357
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bruns, Stephan B. & Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Stern, David I., 2020. "A multicointegration model of global climate change," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 175-197.
    2. Felix Ekardt & Jutta Wieding & Anika Zorn, 2018. "Paris Agreement, Precautionary Principle and Human Rights: Zero Emissions in Two Decades?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-15, August.
    3. G. Cornelis van Kooten, 2020. "Climate Change and Agriculture," Working Papers 2020-01, University of Victoria, Department of Economics, Resource Economics and Policy Analysis Research Group.
    4. Sarah E. Anderson & Terry L. Anderson & Alice C. Hill & Matthew E. Kahn & Howard Kunreuther & Gary D. Libecap & Hari Mantripragada & Pierre Mérel & Andrew J. Plantinga & V. Kerry Smith, 2019. "The Critical Role Of Markets In Climate Change Adaptation," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(01), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Gallant, Kirsten & Withey, Patrick & Risk, Dave & van Kooten, G. Cornelis & Spafford, Lynsay, 2020. "Measurement and economic valuation of carbon sequestration in Nova Scotian wetlands," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    6. Rickels, Wilfried & Merk, Christine & Honneth, Johannes & Schwinger, Jörg & Quaas, Martin & Oschlies, Andreas, 2019. "Welche Rolle spielen negative Emissionen für die zukünftige Klimapolitik?," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 261840, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    7. Rickels, Wilfried & Merk, Christine & Honneth, Johannes & Schwinger, Jörg & Quaas, Martin F. & Oschlies, Andreas, 2019. "Welche Rolle spielen negative Emissionen für die zukünftige Klimapolitik? Eine ökonomische Einschätzung des 1,5°C-Sonderberichts des Weltklimarats," Kiel Working Papers 2116, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    8. Rasmus Karlsson, 2021. "Learning in the Anthropocene," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-11, June.
    9. Sebastian Mader, 2020. "Plant trees for the planet: the potential of forests for climate change mitigation and the major drivers of national forest area," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 519-536, April.
    10. Kelly Wanser & Sarah J. Doherty & James W. Hurrell & Alex Wong, 2022. "Near-term climate risks and sunlight reflection modification: a roadmap approach for physical sciences research," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 174(3), pages 1-20, October.

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