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Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models

Author

Listed:
  • E. M. Fischer

    (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich)

  • R. Knutti

    (Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich)

Abstract

It has been predicted, by theory and models, that heavy precipitation will increase with climate change and this is now being seen in observations. Emergence of signals such as this will enable testing of predictions, which should increase confidence in them.

Suggested Citation

  • E. M. Fischer & R. Knutti, 2016. "Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(11), pages 986-991, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:6:y:2016:i:11:d:10.1038_nclimate3110
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3110
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhiqi Yang & Gabriele Villarini, 2020. "On the role of increased CO2 concentrations in enhancing the temporal clustering of heavy precipitation events across Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1455-1472, October.
    2. Emanuela Cicinelli & Giulia Caneva & Valentina Savo, 2021. "A Review on Management Strategies of the Terraced Agricultural Systems and Conservation Actions to Maintain Cultural Landscapes around the Mediterranean Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-12, April.
    3. Luke J. Harrington & Friederike E. L Otto, 2019. "Attributable damage liability in a non-linear climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 15-20, March.
    4. Richhild Moessner, 2022. "Effects of Precipitation on Food Consumer Price Inflation," CESifo Working Paper Series 9961, CESifo.
    5. Wei Zhang & Gabriele Villarini, 2017. "Heavy precipitation is highly sensitive to the magnitude of future warming," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 145(1), pages 249-257, November.
    6. Jimena Gonzalez-Ramirez & Poonam Arora & Guillermo Podesta, 2018. "Using Insights from Prospect Theory to Enhance Sustainable Decision Making by Agribusinesses in Argentina," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-15, August.
    7. Agraw Ali Beshir & Jaemin Song, 2021. "Urbanization and its impact on flood hazard: the case of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 1167-1190, October.
    8. Wei Zhang & Gabriele Villarini & Michael Wehner, 2019. "Contrasting the responses of extreme precipitation to changes in surface air and dew point temperatures," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 154(1), pages 257-271, May.
    9. Wenxia Zhang & Kalli Furtado & Tianjun Zhou & Peili Wu & Xiaolong Chen, 2022. "Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past precipitation variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    10. Ruggero Ermini & Carmen Fattore & Amir Aubed Zoubi, 2024. "Hydromorphic Impact of Matera’s Urban Area," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-16, February.
    11. Haoyang Du & Chen Zhou & Haoqing Tang & Xiaolong Jin & Dengshuai Chen & Penghui Jiang & Manchun Li, 2021. "Simulation and estimation of future precipitation changes in arid regions: a case study of Xinjiang, Northwest China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-21, August.
    12. Patrick Ray & Sungwook Wi & Andrew Schwarz & Matthew Correa & Minxue He & Casey Brown, 2020. "Vulnerability and risk: climate change and water supply from California’s Central Valley water system," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 177-199, July.
    13. Jordis S. Tradowsky & Sjoukje Y. Philip & Frank Kreienkamp & Sarah F. Kew & Philip Lorenz & Julie Arrighi & Thomas Bettmann & Steven Caluwaerts & Steven C. Chan & Lesley De Cruz & Hylke de Vries & Nor, 2023. "Attribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(7), pages 1-38, July.
    14. Vinícius B. P. Chagas & Pedro L. B. Chaffe & Günter Blöschl, 2022. "Climate and land management accelerate the Brazilian water cycle," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    15. Andreas Hoy & Nils Feske & Petr Štěpánek & Petr Skalák & Andreas Schmitt & Petra Schneider, 2018. "Climatic Changes and Their Relation to Weather Types in a Transboundary Mountainous Region in Central Europe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-30, June.
    16. Friederike E. L. Otto & Petra Minnerop & Emmanuel Raju & Luke J. Harrington & Rupert F. Stuart‐Smith & Emily Boyd & Rachel James & Richard Jones & Kristian C. Lauta, 2022. "Causality and the fate of climate litigation: The role of the social superstructure narrative," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 13(5), pages 736-750, November.
    17. Jang Hyun Sung & Minsung Kwon & Jong-June Jeon & Seung Beom Seo, 2019. "A Projection of Extreme Precipitation Based on a Selection of CMIP5 GCMs over North Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-17, April.
    18. Xiaoqing Shi & Tianling Qin & Hanjiang Nie & Baisha Weng & Shan He, 2019. "Changes in Major Global River Discharges Directed into the Ocean," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-19, April.
    19. Hui Zhang & Minna Väliranta & Graeme T. Swindles & Marco A. Aquino-López & Donal Mullan & Ning Tan & Matthew Amesbury & Kirill V. Babeshko & Kunshan Bao & Anatoly Bobrov & Viktor Chernyshov & Marissa , 2022. "Recent climate change has driven divergent hydrological shifts in high-latitude peatlands," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-7, December.

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