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Threat to future global food security from climate change and ozone air pollution

Author

Listed:
  • Amos P. K. Tai

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Present address: Earth System Science Programme and Graduate Division of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Faculty of Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 852, China.)

  • Maria Val Martin

    (Colorado State University
    The University of Sheffield)

  • Colette L. Heald

    (Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)

Abstract

This study shows that climate change has the potential to substantially increase undernourishment rates and threaten food security in developing countries through crop damage, but that ozone regulation can significantly offset climate impacts, depending on the scenario. The findings should help policymakers devise optimal strategies for food production under global climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Amos P. K. Tai & Maria Val Martin & Colette L. Heald, 2014. "Threat to future global food security from climate change and ozone air pollution," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(9), pages 817-821, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:9:d:10.1038_nclimate2317
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2317
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    Cited by:

    1. Yongjiang Hou & Zheng Shen, 2022. "Research Trends, Hotspots and Frontiers of Ozone Pollution from 1996 to 2021: A Review Based on a Bibliometric Visualization Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-27, August.
    2. Massimiliano Agovino & Antonio Garofalo & Angela Mariani, 2014. "Urban Environmental Quality and Sustainable Food Sourcing: A Spatial Approach Using Italian Provincial Data," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2014(2), pages 139-157.
    3. Liu, Ziheng & Lu, Qinan, 2023. "Ozone stress and crop harvesting failure: Evidence from US food production," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. Alamgir Kabir & Md Nurul Amin & Kushal Roy & Md Sarwar Hossain, 2021. "Determinants of climate change adaptation strategies in the coastal zone of Bangladesh: implications for adaptation to climate change in developing countries," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 1-25, October.
    5. Jie Pei & Pengyu Liu & Huajun Fang & Xinyu Gao & Baihong Pan & Haolin Li & Han Guo & Feng Zhang, 2023. "Estimating Yield and Economic Losses Induced by Ozone Exposure in South China Based on Full-Coverage Surface Ozone Reanalysis Data and High-Resolution Rice Maps," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-21, February.
    6. Jong Kyu Lee & Myeong Ja Kwak & Sang Hee Park & Han Dong Kim & Yea Ji Lim & Su Gyeong Jeong & Yun Soo Choi & Su Young Woo, 2021. "Ozone Response of Leaf Physiological and Stomatal Characteristics in Brassica juncea L. at Supraoptimal Temperatures," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-22, April.
    7. Lechthaler, Filippo & Vinogradova, Alexandra, 2017. "The climate challenge for agriculture and the value of climate services: Application to coffee-farming in Peru," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 5-30.
    8. Andrea Karin Barrueto & Juerg Merz & Nicole Clot & Thomas Hammer, 2017. "Climate Changes and Their Impact on Agricultural Market Systems: Examples from Nepal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-16, November.
    9. José Martins & Catarina Gonçalves & Jani Silva & Ramiro Gonçalves & Frederico Branco, 2022. "Digital Ecosystem Model for GIAHS: The Barroso Agro-Sylvo-Pastoral System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-20, August.
    10. Habtemariam, Lemlem Teklegiorgis & Abate Kassa, Getachew & Gandorfer, Markus, 2017. "Impact of climate change on farms in smallholder farming systems: Yield impacts, economic implications and distributional effects," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 58-66.
    11. Yabin Da & Yangyang Xu & Bruce McCarl, 2022. "Effects of Surface Ozone and Climate on Historical (1980–2015) Crop Yields in the United States: Implication for Mid-21st Century Projection," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 81(2), pages 355-378, February.
    12. Jianhong E. Mu & John M. Antle & John T. Abatzoglou, 2019. "Representative agricultural pathways, climate change, and agricultural land uses: an application to the Pacific Northwest of the USA," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(5), pages 819-837, June.
    13. Megan C Evans & Christopher Cvitanovic, 2018. "An introduction to achieving policy impact for early career researchers," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 4(1), pages 1-12, December.
    14. John Weyant, 2017. "Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 11(1), pages 115-137.
    15. Nouri, Milad & Homaee, Mehdi & Bannayan, Mohammad & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2016. "Towards modeling soil texture-specific sensitivity of wheat yield and water balance to climatic changes," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 248-263.
    16. Carl-Friedrich Schleussner & Joeri Rogelj & Michiel Schaeffer & Tabea Lissner & Rachel Licker & Erich M. Fischer & Reto Knutti & Anders Levermann & Katja Frieler & William Hare, 2016. "Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 827-835, September.
    17. Liu, Ziheng & Shi, Guanming & Grainger, Corbett & Mitchell, Paul D., 2024. "Environmental Stress, Lactation, and Production: Evidence from Dairy Industry," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343869, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Fariha Kanwal & Angel A. J. Torriero, 2022. "Biohydrogen—A Green Fuel for Sustainable Energy Solutions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-20, October.
    19. Mu, Jianhong E. & McCarl, Bruce A. & Sleeter, Benjamin & Abatzoglou, John T. & Zhang, Hongliang, 2018. "Adaptation with climate uncertainty: An examination of agricultural land use in the United States," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 392-401.
    20. Emilie Stokeld & Simon A. Croft & Jonathan M. H. Green & Christopher D. West, 2020. "Climate change, crops and commodity traders: subnational trade analysis highlights differentiated risk exposure," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(2), pages 175-192, September.
    21. Samuel Levis & Andrew Badger & Beth Drewniak & Cynthia Nevison & Xiaolin Ren, 2018. "CLMcrop yields and water requirements: avoided impacts by choosing RCP 4.5 over 8.5," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 146(3), pages 501-515, February.

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