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Observed changes in extreme wet and dry spells during the South Asian summer monsoon season

Author

Listed:
  • Deepti Singh

    (Stanford University)

  • Michael Tsiang

    (Stanford University)

  • Bala Rajaratnam

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University
    Stanford University)

  • Noah S. Diffenbaugh

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University)

Abstract

The South Asian summer monsoon has an impact on over one billion people. This study applies statistical techniques to precipitation observations (over the period 1951–2011) and finds significant increases in daily precipitation variability, the frequency of dry spells and the intensity of wet spells, whereas dry spell intensity decreases.

Suggested Citation

  • Deepti Singh & Michael Tsiang & Bala Rajaratnam & Noah S. Diffenbaugh, 2014. "Observed changes in extreme wet and dry spells during the South Asian summer monsoon season," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(6), pages 456-461, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:6:d:10.1038_nclimate2208
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2208
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    Cited by:

    1. Srishti Gaur & Rajnish Singh & Arnab Bandyopadhyay & Rajendra Singh, 2023. "Diagnosis of GCM-RCM-driven rainfall patterns under changing climate through the robust selection of multi-model ensemble and sub-ensembles," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(2), pages 1-30, February.
    2. Demont, Timothée, 2022. "Coping with shocks: How Self-Help Groups impact food security and seasonal migration," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Mukherjee, Manisha, 2022. "Climate change and migration: Reviewing the role of access to agricultural adaptation measures," MERIT Working Papers 2022-039, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    4. Andrea Karin Barrueto & Juerg Merz & Nicole Clot & Thomas Hammer, 2017. "Climate Changes and Their Impact on Agricultural Market Systems: Examples from Nepal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-16, November.
    5. Liang Jia & Saini Yang & Weiping Wang & Xinlong Zhang, 2022. "Impact analysis of highways in China under future extreme precipitation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 1097-1113, January.
    6. Junhua Yang & Shichang Kang & Deliang Chen & Lin Zhao & Zhenming Ji & Keqin Duan & Haijun Deng & Lekhendra Tripathee & Wentao Du & Mukesh Rai & Fangping Yan & Yuan Li & Robert R. Gillies, 2022. "South Asian black carbon is threatening the water sustainability of the Asian Water Tower," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Timothée Demont, 2020. "Coping with shocks: the impact of Self-Help Groups on migration and food security," Working Papers halshs-02571730, HAL.
    8. Thapar, Sapan & Sharma, Seema & Verma, Ashu, 2017. "Local community as shareholders in clean energy projects: Innovative strategy for accelerating renewable energy deployment in India," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 873-885.
    9. Ramilan, T. & Kumar, S. & Haileslassie, Amare & Craufurd, P. & Scrimgeour, F. & Kattarkandi, B. & Whitbread, A., 2022. "Quantifying farm household resilience and the implications of livelihood heterogeneity in the semi-arid tropics of India," Papers published in Journals (Open Access), International Water Management Institute, pages 1-12(4):466.
    10. Balsher Singh Sidhu & Zia Mehrabi & Milind Kandlikar & Navin Ramankutty, 2022. "On the relative importance of climatic and non-climatic factors in crop yield models," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 173(1), pages 1-21, July.
    11. Arun Khatri-Chhetri & Pramod K. Aggarwal, 2017. "Assessment of Large Seed Banks Requirement for Drought Risk Management in South Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-15, November.
    12. D. Chiru Naik & Sagar Rohidas Chavan & P. Sonali, 2023. "Incorporating the climate oscillations in the computation of meteorological drought over India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(3), pages 2617-2646, July.
    13. McMahan Christopher & Baurley James & Bridges William & Joyner Chase & Kacamarga Muhamad Fitra & Lund Robert & Pardamean Carissa & Pardamean Bens, 2017. "A Bayesian hierarchical model for identifying significant polygenic effects while controlling for confounding and repeated measures," Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, De Gruyter, vol. 16(5-6), pages 407-419, December.
    14. Zaveri, Esha D. & Wrenn, Douglas H. & Fisher-Vanden, Karen, 2020. "The impact of water access on short-term migration in rural India," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(2), April.
    15. Md. Arif Chowdhury & Rashed Uz Zzaman & Nusrat Jahan Tarin & Mohammad Jobayer Hossain, 2022. "Spatial variability of climatic hazards in Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(3), pages 2329-2351, February.
    16. Yang Yang & Thian Yew Gan & Xuezhi Tan, 2021. "Recent changing characteristics of dry and wet spells in Canada," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-21, April.
    17. Prasad, Pooja & Damani, Om P. & Sohoni, Milind, 2022. "How can resource-level thresholds guide sustainable intensification of agriculture at farm level? A system dynamics study of farm-pond based intensification," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).

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