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Impacts of climate change on marine ecosystem production in societies dependent on fisheries

Author

Listed:
  • M. Barange

    (Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Prospect Place)

  • G. Merino

    (Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Prospect Place
    AZTI-Tecnalia, Herrera Kaia, Portualdea s/n 20110 Pasaia, Spain)

  • J. L. Blanchard

    (University of Sheffield, Western Bank)

  • J. Scholtens

    (MARE Centre for Maritime Research, Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research, University of Amsterdam, Plantage Muidergracht 14 1018 Amsterdam, The Netherlands)

  • J. Harle

    (National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow Street Liverpool L3 5DA, UK)

  • E. H. Allison

    (School of Marine and Environmental Affairs, University of Washington, 3707 Brooklyn Avenue Northeast, Seattle Washington 98105, USA)

  • J. I. Allen

    (Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Prospect Place)

  • J. Holt

    (National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow Street Liverpool L3 5DA, UK)

  • S. Jennings

    (Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft Laboratory, Pakefield Road Lowestoft NR33 0HT, UK
    School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia)

Abstract

The future sustainability of global fisheries is unknown. Models of physical, biological and human responses to climate change are applied to 67 national exclusive economic zones, which cover 60% of global fishery catches. This allows prediction of climate change impacts on countries with different dependencies on fisheries.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Barange & G. Merino & J. L. Blanchard & J. Scholtens & J. Harle & E. H. Allison & J. I. Allen & J. Holt & S. Jennings, 2014. "Impacts of climate change on marine ecosystem production in societies dependent on fisheries," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(3), pages 211-216, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:3:d:10.1038_nclimate2119
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2119
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cheung, William W.L. & Jones, Miranda C. & Reygondeau, Gabriel & Stock, Charles A. & Lam, Vicky W.Y. & Frölicher, Thomas L., 2016. "Structural uncertainty in projecting global fisheries catches under climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 325(C), pages 57-66.
    2. Mattei, F. & Buonocore, E. & Franzese, P.P. & Scardi, M., 2021. "Global assessment of marine phytoplankton primary production: Integrating machine learning and environmental accounting models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 451(C).
    3. Kristen M. Green & Jennifer C. Selgrath & Timothy H. Frawley & William K. Oestreich & Elizabeth J. Mansfield & Jose Urteaga & Shannon S. Swanson & Francisca N. Santana & Stephanie J. Green & Josheena , 2021. "How adaptive capacity shapes the Adapt, React, Cope response to climate impacts: insights from small-scale fisheries," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 1-22, January.
    4. Achmad Faqih & Mukarto Siswoyo, 2020. "Regressing climate change, agricultural growth and food production on economic sustainability: gathering and analyzing data for ASEAN countries," Post-Print hal-03121067, HAL.
    5. Abdunnur Abdunnur, 2020. "Nexus of Fisheries and Agriculture Production and Urbanization on Ecological Footprint: New Evidence from Indonesian Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 190-195.
    6. Qi Chen & Weiteng Shen & Bing Yu, 2018. "Assessing the Vulnerability of Marine Fisheries in China: Towards an Inter-Provincial Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-14, November.
    7. Thi Lam Pham & Izuru Saizen, 2023. "Coastal fishers’ livelihood adaptations to extreme weather events: an analysis of household strategies in Quang Ngai Province, Vietnam," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Nobuhle Ndhlovu & Osamu Saito & Riyanti Djalante & Nobuyuki Yagi, 2017. "Assessing the Sensitivity of Small-Scale Fishery Groups to Climate Change in Lake Kariba, Zimbabwe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-18, November.
    9. Heenan, Adel & Pomeroy, Robert & Bell, Johann & Munday, Philip L. & Cheung, William & Logan, Cheryl & Brainard, Russell & Yang Amri, Affendi & Aliño, Porfirio & Armada, Nygiel & David, Laura & Rivera-, 2015. "A climate-informed, ecosystem approach to fisheries management," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 182-192.
    10. Fei Ji & Xinyu Guo & Yucheng Wang & Katsumi Takayama, 2020. "Response of the Japanese flying squid (Todarodes pacificus) in the Japan Sea to future climate warming scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(4), pages 601-618, April.
    11. Kleisner, Kristin M. & Coll, Marta & Lynam, Christopher P. & Bundy, Alida & Shannon, Lynne & Shin, Yunne-Jai & Boldt, Jennifer L. & Maria F., Borges & Diallo, Ibrahima & Fox, Clive & Gascuel, Didier &, 2015. "Evaluating changes in marine communities that provide ecosystem services through comparative assessments of community indicators," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 413-429.
    12. Henrique Cabral & Vanessa Fonseca & Tânia Sousa & Miguel Costa Leal, 2019. "Synergistic Effects of Climate Change and Marine Pollution: An Overlooked Interaction in Coastal and Estuarine Areas," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-17, July.
    13. Rasmus Swalethorp & Michael R. Landry & Brice X. Semmens & Mark D. Ohman & Lihini Aluwihare & Dereka Chargualaf & Andrew R. Thompson, 2023. "Anchovy boom and bust linked to trophic shifts in larval diet," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    14. Mullon, C. & Steinmetz, F. & Merino, G. & Fernandes, J.A. & Cheung, W.W.L. & Butenschön, M. & Barange, M., 2016. "Quantitative pathways for Northeast Atlantic fisheries based on climate, ecological–economic and governance modelling scenarios," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 320(C), pages 273-291.
    15. Vasquez Caballero, Smit & Salgueiro-Otero, Diego & Ojea, Elena, 2023. "The Role of Catch Portfolios in Characterizing Species' Economic Linkages and Fishers' Responses to Climate Change Impacts," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    16. Chu, Long & Grafton, R. Quentin & Kompas, Tom, 2022. "Optimisation of economic performance and stock resilience in marine capture fisheries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 863-875.
    17. Mattei, F. & Scardi, M., 2020. "Embedding ecological knowledge into artificial neural network training: A marine phytoplankton primary production model case study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 421(C).
    18. Angus Atkinson & Axel G. Rossberg & Ursula Gaedke & Gary Sprules & Ryan F. Heneghan & Stratos Batziakas & Maria Grigoratou & Elaine Fileman & Katrin Schmidt & Constantin Frangoulis, 2024. "Steeper size spectra with decreasing phytoplankton biomass indicate strong trophic amplification and future fish declines," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.

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