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A local coastal adaptation pathway

Author

Listed:
  • J. Barnett

    (School of Geography, The University of Melbourne)

  • S. Graham

    (School of Geography, The University of Melbourne)

  • C. Mortreux

    (School of Geography, The University of Melbourne)

  • R. Fincher

    (School of Geography, The University of Melbourne)

  • E. Waters

    (School of Geography, The University of Melbourne)

  • A. Hurlimann

    (Urban Planning, The University of Melbourne)

Abstract

Local governments are not adapting to sea-level rise because it is difficult to build consensus on the need for change and the best way to implement it. In theory, adaptation pathways can resolve this impasse. Adaptation pathways are a sequence of linked strategies that are triggered by a change in environmental conditions, and in which initial decisions can have low regrets and preserve options for future generations. We report on a project that sought to empirically test the relevance and feasibility of a local pathway for adapting to sea-level rise. We find that triggers of change that have social impacts are salient to local people, and developing a local adaptation pathway helps build consensus among diverse constituencies. Our results show that adaptation pathways are feasible at the local scale, offering a low-risk, low-cost way to begin the long process of adaptation to sea-level rise.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Barnett & S. Graham & C. Mortreux & R. Fincher & E. Waters & A. Hurlimann, 2014. "A local coastal adaptation pathway," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(12), pages 1103-1108, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:12:d:10.1038_nclimate2383
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2383
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Beate M.W. Ratter & Jan Petzold & Kamardine Sinane, 2016. "Considering the locals: coastal construction and destruction in times of climate change on Anjouan, Comoros," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(3), pages 112-126, August.
    2. Raphaël Mathevet & Aurélien Allouche & Laurence Nicolas & Veronica Mitroi & Christo Fabricius & Chloé Guerbois & John M. Anderies, 2018. "A Conceptual Framework for Heuristic Progress in Exploring Management Regime Shifts in Biodiversity Conservation and Climate Change Adaptation of Coastal Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, November.
    3. Rachel Harcourt & Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Suraje Dessai & Andrea Taylor, 2021. "Envisioning Climate Change Adaptation Futures Using Storytelling Workshops," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, June.
    4. Mauricio Sánchez-Silva & Jack W. Baker, 2024. "Dynamic Infrastructure Systems: advancing sustainable urbanization and climate change," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 489-499, September.
    5. Strain, E.M.A. & Kompas, T. & Boxshall, A. & Kelvin, J. & Swearer, S. & Morris, R.L., 2022. "Assessing the coastal protection services of natural mangrove forests and artificial rock revetments," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    6. Geronimo Gussmann & Jochen Hinkel, 2020. "What drives relocation policies in the Maldives?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(2), pages 931-951, November.
    7. O’Donnell, Tayanah, 2019. "Contrasting land use policies for climate change adaptation: A case study of political and geo-legal realities for Australian coastal locations," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    8. Stanton, Muriel C. Bonjean & Roelich, Katy, 2021. "Decision making under deep uncertainties: A review of the applicability of methods in practice," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    9. Marjolijn Haasnoot & Maaike Aalst & Julie Rozenberg & Kathleen Dominique & John Matthews & Laurens M. Bouwer & Jarl Kind & N. LeRoy Poff, 2020. "Investments under non-stationarity: economic evaluation of adaptation pathways," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(3), pages 451-463, August.
    10. Ranjan Roy & Animesh K. Gain & Margot A. Hurlbert & Narimah Samat & Mou Leong Tan & Ngai Weng Chan, 2021. "Designing adaptation pathways for flood-affected households in Bangladesh," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5386-5410, April.
    11. Md Aboul Fazal Younus & Md Alamgir Kabir, 2018. "Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment and Adaptation of Bangladesh: Mechanisms, Notions and Solutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, November.
    12. Meng Meng & Marcin Dabrowski & Dominic Stead, 2020. "Enhancing Flood Resilience and Climate Adaptation: The State of the Art and New Directions for Spatial Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-23, September.
    13. Sierra C. Woodruff, 2016. "Planning for an unknowable future: uncertainty in climate change adaptation planning," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(3), pages 445-459, December.
    14. Sérgio Barreiros Proença & Francesca Dal Cin & Cristiana Valente Monteiro & Maria Inês Franco & Maria Matos Silva & Nawaf Saeed Al Mushayt, 2023. "The Urban Public Space between Land and Sea: The Case of Quarteira, Portugal," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-15, February.
    15. Burnham, Morey & Ma, Zhao, 2018. "Multi-Scalar Pathways to Smallholder Adaptation," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 249-262.
    16. Bukvic, A. & Mitchell, A. & Shao, Y. & Irish, J.L., 2023. "Spatiotemporal implications of flooding on relocation risk in rural and urban coastal municipalities," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    17. Graham, Sonia & Barnett, Jon & Mortreux, Colette & Hurlimann, Anna & Fincher, Ruth, 2018. "Local values and fairness in climate change adaptation: Insights from marginal rural Australian communities," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 332-343.
    18. Christoffer Carstens & Karin Mossberg Sonnek & Riitta Räty & Per Wikman-Svahn & Annika Carlsson-Kanyama & Jonathan Metzger, 2019. "Insights from Testing a Modified Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways Approach for Spatial Planning at the Municipal Level," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-16, January.
    19. Angela Mallette & Timothy F. Smith & Carmen Elrick-Barr & Jessica Blythe & Ryan Plummer, 2021. "Understanding Preferences for Coastal Climate Change Adaptation: A Systematic Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-22, August.
    20. Pieter Bloemen & Tim Reeder & Chris Zevenbergen & Jeroen Rijke & Ashley Kingsborough, 2018. "Lessons learned from applying adaptation pathways in flood risk management and challenges for the further development of this approach," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 1083-1108, October.
    21. Petra Tschakert & Jon Barnett & Neville Ellis & Carmen Lawrence & Nancy Tuana & Mark New & Carmen Elrick‐Barr & Ram Pandit & David Pannell, 2017. "Climate change and loss, as if people mattered: values, places, and experiences," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 8(5), September.
    22. Judy Lawrence & Robert Bell & Adolf Stroombergen, 2019. "A Hybrid Process to Address Uncertainty and Changing Climate Risk in Coastal Areas Using Dynamic Adaptive Pathways Planning, Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis & Real Options Analysis: A New Zealand App," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    23. Oswald Jenewein & Michelle A. Hummel, 2022. "Co-Creating Climate Adaptation Pathways in Coastal Cities: A Practical Guide for Engaged Scholars and Urban Designers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
    24. Maddalen Mendizabal & Nieves Peña & Hans Hooyberghs & Griet Lambrechts & Joel Sepúlveda & Saioa Zorita, 2021. "Lessons Learned from Applying Adaptation Pathways in Heatwave Risk Management in Antwerp and Key Challenges for Further Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-23, October.
    25. Nicholas A. Cradock-Henry & Bob Frame & Benjamin L. Preston & Andy Reisinger & Dale S. Rothman, 2018. "Dynamic adaptive pathways in downscaled climate change scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 150(3), pages 333-341, October.

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