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Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere

Author

Listed:
  • Yichen Zhang

    (Peking University)

  • Shilong Piao

    (Peking University
    Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Yan Sun

    (Ocean University of China)

  • Brendan M. Rogers

    (Woodwell Climate Research Center)

  • Xiangyi Li

    (Peking University)

  • Xu Lian

    (Peking University)

  • Zhihua Liu

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Anping Chen

    (Colorado State University)

  • Josep Peñuelas

    (CREAF, Cerdanyola del Valles
    CSIC, Global Ecology Unit CREAF-CSIC-UAB)

Abstract

Climatic warming has greatly increased vegetation productivity in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere since the 1980s, but how long this positive relationship will continue remains unknown. Here we show changes in the effect of warming on Northern Hemisphere summer gross primary productivity for 2001–2100 using Earth system model outputs. The correlation between summer gross primary productivity and temperature decreases in temperate and boreal regions by the late twenty-first century, generally becoming significantly negative before 2070 in regions

Suggested Citation

  • Yichen Zhang & Shilong Piao & Yan Sun & Brendan M. Rogers & Xiangyi Li & Xu Lian & Zhihua Liu & Anping Chen & Josep Peñuelas, 2022. "Future reversal of warming-enhanced vegetation productivity in the Northern Hemisphere," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(6), pages 581-586, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:12:y:2022:i:6:d:10.1038_s41558-022-01374-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01374-w
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    Cited by:

    1. Fang Shang & Mingxu Liu & Yu Song & Xingjie Lu & Qiang Zhang & Hitoshi Matsui & Lingli Liu & Aijun Ding & Xin Huang & Xuejun Liu & Junji Cao & Zifa Wang & Yongjiu Dai & Ling Kang & Xuhui Cai & Hongshe, 2024. "Substantial nitrogen abatement accompanying decarbonization suppresses terrestrial carbon sinks in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Xun Zhang & Zhaoliang Gao & Yonghong Li & Guanfan Sun & Yunfeng Cen & Yongcai Lou & Yihang Yao & Wenbo Liu, 2023. "Eco-Environment Quality Response to Climate Change and Human Activities on the Loess Plateau, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Wenqing Li & Rubén D. Manzanedo & Yuan Jiang & Wenqiu Ma & Enzai Du & Shoudong Zhao & Tim Rademacher & Manyu Dong & Hui Xu & Xinyu Kang & Jun Wang & Fang Wu & Xuefeng Cui & Neil Pederson, 2023. "Reassessment of growth-climate relations indicates the potential for decline across Eurasian boreal larch forests," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.

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