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The Credit Crisis and Recession as a Paradigm Test

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  • Dirk Bezemer

Abstract

This paper contributes to the debate on what economics can learn from the credit crisis and recession. It asks what are the elements in the mainstream paradigm that caused many economists to misjudge the state of the economy so dramatically in the years leading up to the 2007 credit crisis and the 2008-2009 recession. It scrutinizes the work of twelve economists who warned of the crisis and identifies, as the common elements in their thinking, financial assets, debt, the flow of funds and behavioral assumptions on uncertainty, bounded rationality and non-optimizing behavior. These are then contrasted to mainstream thinking. The conclusion is that economics, if it is to be relevant to reality, should stop neglecting money, wealth and debt, and turn away from an individualistic view and toward a systemic view of the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Dirk Bezemer, 2011. "The Credit Crisis and Recession as a Paradigm Test," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 1-18.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:jeciss:v:45:y:2011:i:1:p:1-18
    DOI: 10.2753/JEI0021-3624450101
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    Cited by:

    1. Grydaki, Maria & Bezemer, Dirk, 2013. "The role of credit in the Great Moderation: A multivariate GARCH approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4615-4626.
    2. Leiss, Matthias & Nax, Heinrich H. & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Super-exponential growth expectations and the global financial crisis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-13.
    3. Rozite, Kristiana & Bezemer, Dirk J. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2019. "Towards a financial cycle for the U.S., 1973–2014," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Mario A Bertella & Henio A Rego & Celso Neris Jr. & Jonathas N Silva & Boris Podobnik & H Eugene Stanley, 2015. "Interaction between Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a Dynamic Nonlinear Model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-21, March.
    5. Fridhi, Bechir, 2020. "Coronavirus (COVID-19) Crisis: What's the Economic Alternative in Tunisia?," EconStor Preprints 225249, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    6. Leiss, Matthias & Nax, Heinrich H. & Sornette, Didier, 2015. "Super-exponential growth expectations and the global financial crisis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65434, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Lauretta, Eliana, 2018. "The hidden soul of financial innovation: An agent-based modelling of home mortgage securitization and the finance-growth nexus," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 51-73.
    8. von der Becke Susanne & Sornette Didier, 2019. "An Asset-Based Framework of Credit Creation (applied to the Global Financial Crisis)," Accounting, Economics, and Law: A Convivium, De Gruyter, vol. 9(2), pages 1-21, July.
    9. Ozili, Peterson & Arun, Thankom, 2020. "Spillover of COVID-19: Impact on the Global Economy," MPRA Paper 99317, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Mannan, Kazi Abdul & Farhana, Khandaker Mursheda & Chowdhury, G. M. Omar Faruque, 2020. "The COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts on Manpower Export: An Econometric Analysis of Survival Strategies of Recruiting Agencies in Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 103566, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2020.
    11. Li, Boyao, 2017. "The impact of the Basel III liquidity coverage ratio on macroeconomic stability: An agent-based approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    12. Alan Karaev K. & А. Караев К., 2017. "Нелинейная динамическая модель взаимодействия фискальной и монетарной политик России // A Nonlinear Dynamic Model of the Russian Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interaction," Экономика. Налоги. Право // Economics, taxes & law, ФГОБУ "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 10(3), pages 43-51.
    13. Oleksandr Sylkin & Yuliia Buhel & Natalia Dombrovska & Iryna Martusenko & Myroslava Karaim, 2021. "The Impact of the Crisis on the Socio-Economic System in a Post-Pandemic Society," Postmodern Openings, Editura Lumen, Department of Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 368-379, March.
    14. Rötheli, Tobias F., 2012. "Boundedly rational banks’ contribution to the credit cycle," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 730-737.
    15. Bezemer, Dirk & Grydaki, Maria, 2014. "Financial fragility in the Great Moderation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 169-177.

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