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Do Global Risk Perceptions Play a Role in Emerging Market Equity Return Volatilities?

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  • Erk Hacihasanoglu
  • F. N. Can Simga-Mugan
  • Ugur Soytas

Abstract

This paper investigates whether global risk perceptions lead emerging market return volatilities. In so doing, we analyzed the period of interest in three parts to determine the effects of the changes in global risk perceptions on the volatility of emerging markets. We uncovered volatility spillover from risk perceptions to the MXEF returns before the crisis. Our results show that all the effects on emerging market volatilities are severed in 2008, during which MXEF follows a downward trend. However, we observe that volatility transmission emerges during the recovery period of MXEF again. Hence, risk perceptions should be considered while analyzing emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Erk Hacihasanoglu & F. N. Can Simga-Mugan & Ugur Soytas, 2012. "Do Global Risk Perceptions Play a Role in Emerging Market Equity Return Volatilities?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(4), pages 67-78, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:48:y:2012:i:4:p:67-78
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Abu S. Amin & Lucjan T. Orlowski, 2014. "Returns, Volatilities, and Correlations Across Mature, Regional, and Frontier Markets: Evidence from South Asia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 5-27, May.
    2. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hasan, Mudassar & Arif, Muhammad & Balli, Faruk & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Time and frequency domain quantile coherence of emerging stock markets with gold and oil prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    3. Kocaarslan, Baris & Sari, Ramazan & Gormus, Alper & Soytas, Ugur, 2017. "Dynamic correlations between BRIC and U.S. stock markets: The asymmetric impact of volatility expectations in oil, gold and financial markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 41-56.
    4. Abdullah Alqahtani, 2019. "Does U.S. Equity market uncertainty and implied stock market volatility affect the GCC stock markets?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(4), pages 2631-2638.
    5. Yıldırım, Durmuş Çağrı & Esen, Ömer & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on return and risk transmission between oil and precious metals: Evidence from DCC-GARCH model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Hasan Murat Ertugrul & Huseyin Ozturk, 2013. "The Drivers of Credit Default Swap Prices: Evidence from Selected Emerging Market Countries," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S5), pages 228-249, November.

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