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Productive diversification and structural change in closed and open economies

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Humberto Ortiz

    (Universidad del Valle)

  • Diana Marcela Jiménez

    (Universidad del Valle)

  • María Liliam Jaramillo

    (Universidad del Valle)

Abstract

Productive diversification has been the main determinant of structural change of the economies. This hypothesis is analysed for nine countries under a relatively closed trade regime, and for nine Latin American countries under a relatively open trade regime with the United States. The equations of structural change that are tested are derived from a multisector dynamic general equilibrium model. The negative impact of productive diversification on the relative allocation of resources to the primary sector cannot be rejected for closed economies: greater diversification increases the relative productivity of manufacturing activities. The impact of a country’s comparative advantages on the allocation of resources to agriculture cannot be rejected: the relative agricultural productivity has a positive impact; the relative capital endowment has a negative impact; and the real exchange rate has a positive impact. In the last case, it is argued that low diversification induces a deterioration in the terms of trade, which favours specialization in primary activities

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Humberto Ortiz & Diana Marcela Jiménez & María Liliam Jaramillo, 2019. "Productive diversification and structural change in closed and open economies," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 91, pages 11-39, Julio - D.
    • Handle: RePEc:lde:journl:y:2019:i:91:p:11-39
    DOI: 10.17533/udea.le.n91a01
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    productive diversification; structural change; economic development; economic growth; trade regime.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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