IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ksa/szemle/1660.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A várakozások szerepe a közgazdasági gondolkodásban
[Expectations in thinking on economics]

Author

Listed:
  • Farkas, Beáta

Abstract

A tanulmány európai országok aktuális gazdaságpolitikai problémáiból kiindulva arra keres választ, hogy a közgazdasági elméletek hogyan kezelik a várakozásokat. A klasszikus közgazdaságtan érdektelensége után az 1930-as évektől a dinamikus mak ro elem zésekben már nagy figyelem irányult a vizsgálatukra. A várakozásokat az 1940-es évektől építették be formalizált modellekbe. A neoklasszikus alapokra épülő közgazdasági logikába következetesen az újklasszikus makroökonómia illesztette be. A tanulmány arra a következtetésre jut, hogy a közgazdaságtan gazdaságpolitikai jelentőségük ellenére sosem vonta vizsgálati körébe azokat a közgazdasági szempontból nem racionális várakozásokat, amelyek nem átmeneti külső sokként jelentkeznek, hanem a gazdaság társadalmi beágyazottságából adódnak. Ilyen eseteket a politikai gazdaság eszköztárával lehet megközelíteni. Journal of Economic Literatur (JEL) kód: A13, B41, E32.

Suggested Citation

  • Farkas, Beáta, 2016. "A várakozások szerepe a közgazdasági gondolkodásban [Expectations in thinking on economics]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1177-1191.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1660
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2016.11.1177
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.kszemle.hu/tartalom/letoltes.php?id=1660
    Download Restriction: Registration and subscription. 3-month embargo period to non-subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.18414/KSZ.2016.11.1177?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marc Nerlove, 1958. "Adaptive Expectations and Cobweb Phenomena," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 72(2), pages 227-240.
    2. Bruno Amable, 2014. "The unsolved contradictions of the modernists. Economic policy expectations and political crisis in France 1978-2012," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 14023, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    3. Nicholas Kaldor, 1934. "A Classificatory Note on the Determinateness of Equilibrium," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 1(2), pages 122-136.
    4. Festré, Agnès, 2006. "Knut Wicksell and Ludwig von Mises on Money, Interest, and Price Dynamics," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(3), pages 333-357, September.
    5. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1978. "Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1429-1445, November.
    6. Hommes,Cars, 2015. "Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107564978, October.
    7. Sargent, Thomas J. & Wallace, Neil, 1976. "Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 169-183, April.
    8. Fisher, Irving, 1907. "The Rate of Interest," History of Economic Thought Books, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, number fisher1907.
    9. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1986. "Adaptive Behavior and Economic Theory," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(4), pages 401-426, October.
    10. Collard, David, 1996. "Pigou and Modern Business Cycle Theory," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(437), pages 912-924, July.
    11. Ferdinando Meacci, 2012. "On Adam Smith's Ambiguities on Value and Wealth," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 44(4), pages 663-689, Winter.
    12. Mordecai Ezekiel, 1938. "The Cobweb Theorem," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 52(2), pages 255-280.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Balogh, Gábor & Sipos, Norbert, 2019. "Pályakezdő közgazdászok bére a szakdiverzifikáció függvényében [Programme diversification effects on the salaries of freshly graduated economists]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 551-577.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fausto, Cavalli, 2016. "A cobweb model with alternating demand and supply functions," Working Papers 325, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 07 Feb 2016.
    2. Tamotsu Onozaki, 2018. "Nonlinearity, Bounded Rationality, and Heterogeneity," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-4-431-54971-0, January.
    3. Dieci, Roberto & Mignot, Sarah & Westerhoff, Frank, 2022. "Production delays, technology choice and cyclical cobweb dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    4. Colasante, Annarita & Palestrini, Antonio & Russo, Alberto & Gallegati, Mauro, 2017. "Adaptive expectations versus rational expectations: Evidence from the lab," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 988-1006.
    5. Hommes, Cars & Huber, Stefanie J. & Minina, Daria & Salle, Isabelle, 2024. "Learning in a complex world: Insights from an OLG lab experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 813-837.
    6. Langley, Suchada Vichitakul, 1982. "The formation of price expectations: a case study of the soybean market," ISU General Staff Papers 198201010800009358, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    7. Onozaki, Tamotsu & Sieg, Gernot & Yokoo, Masanori, 2000. "Complex dynamics in a cobweb model with adaptive production adjustment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 101-115, February.
    8. Emeric Lendjel, 2000. "The statistical origin of the cobweb diagram," Post-Print halshs-03243880, HAL.
    9. Emeric Lendjel, 1998. "L'origine statistique du diagramme du cobweb," Working Papers halshs-00268370, HAL.
    10. Fausto Cavalli & Ahmad Naimzada & Lucia Parisio, 2021. "Learning in a double-phase cobweb model," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 579-611, December.
    11. Mengling Li & Huanhuan Zheng, 2017. "Heterogeneous trading and complex price dynamics," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 12(2), pages 437-442, July.
    12. Hommes, Cars, 2018. "Carl’s nonlinear cobweb," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 7-20.
    13. Emeric Lendjel, 1998. "L'origine statistique du diagramme du cobweb," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00268370, HAL.
    14. Emeric Lendjel, 2000. "The statistical origin of the cobweb diagram," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-03243880, HAL.
    15. Colasante, Annarita & Palestrini, Antonio & Russo, Alberto & Gallegati, Mauro, 2015. "Heterogeneous Adaptive Expectations and Coordination in a Learning-to-Forecast Experiment," MPRA Paper 66578, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ronald Schettkat & Sonja Jovicic, 2016. "Macroeconomic revolution on shaky grounds: Lucas/Sargent critique’s inherent contradictions," Schumpeter Discussion Papers SDP16005, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    17. Chaudhry, Muhammad Imran & Miranda, Mario J., 2018. "Complex price dynamics in vertically linked cobweb markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 363-378.
    18. Joep Sonnemans & Peter Heemeijer & Cars Hommes, 2005. "Price expectations in the laboratory in positive and negative feedback systems," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 165, Society for Computational Economics.
    19. Marc Nerlove, 2010. "Cobweb Diagrams," Chapters, in: Mark Blaug & Peter Lloyd (ed.), Famous Figures and Diagrams in Economics, chapter 23, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    20. Simon Glöser-Chahoud & Johannes Hartwig & I. David Wheat & Martin Faulstich, 2016. "The cobweb theorem and delays in adjusting supply in metals' markets," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 32(3-4), pages 279-308, July.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • A13 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Social Values
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1660. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Odon Sok (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.kszemle.hu .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.